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基于CA-Markov模型的临汾市农村居住空间特征及预测

Characteristics and Prediction of Rural Residential Space in Linfen City Based on CA-Markov Model
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摘要 运用CA-Markov模型对临汾市农村居住空间进行特征分析和预测,选取2000—2018年4个时期的土地利用类型栅格图进行研究。结果显示,2000—2018年临汾市农村居住空间呈现中部和南部稠密、北部较稠密、西部和东部稀疏的趋势。2000—2010年临汾市土地变化不明显,不同土地转化较小;2010—2018年土地变化明显,耕地和农村居住空间相互转化较大,其余转化较小。研究区2026年农村居住空间预测以内部扩张为主,集中于中部的临汾盆地内,少部分东部地区扩张;仍呈现中部稠密、西部稀疏的趋势。 The characteristics of rural residential space in Linfen City were analyzed and predicted using the digital raster graphics of land-use types in the four periods of 2000-2018 based on CA-Markov model.The results showed that from 2000 to 2018,the rural residential space of Linfen City was dense in the center and south,slightly dense in the north,and sparse in the west and east.From 2000 to 2010,the land change in Linfen City was not obvious,and the transformation of different lands was not significant.From 2010 to 2018,the land change was obvious,the mutual transformation between cultivated land and rural residential space was significant,and the other transformations were not obvious.The rural residential space in this research area in 2026 was predicted mainly to be internal expansion,which was concentrated in Linfen Basin in the center,and a small expansion in the east.Additionally,the rural residential space was still dense in the center and sparse in the west.
作者 王跃飞 刘磊 张维亮 WANG Yue-fei;LIU Lei;ZHANG Wei-liang(School of Geography and Environmental Science,Shanxi Normal University,Linfen,Shanxi 041000;Institute of Political Science and Law,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488;School of Economics and Management,Shanxi Normal University,Linfen,Shanxi 041000)
出处 《安徽农业科学》 CAS 2020年第20期210-214,共5页 Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
关键词 农村居住空间 土地变化 特征分析 预测 临汾市 Rural residential space Land change Characteristic analysis Prediction Linfen City
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