摘要
文章借助Stata、ArcGIS、OpenGeoDa等软件,利用空间相关性分析、空间计量模型、多元回归等方法,选择31个省域2008-2018年的面板数据,从理论和实证两方面揭示旅游发展、技术创新与经济增长之间长期的动态效应,并从溢出效应测度的角度量化了旅游发展、技术创新、旅游发展与技术创新的融合互动对经济增长的促进作用。结果表明:从总体溢出路径来看,技术创新溢出促进经济增长的效应具有放大作用,旅游发展溢出促进经济增长的效应具有部分共享性,旅游发展与技术创新的交互项溢出效应成为增长障碍;从区域溢出模式来看,东部地区经济增长是技术创新导向型,中部地区经济增长是旅游、技术交互融合型,西部地区经济增长是旅游发展导向型。
With the help of Stata,ArcGIS,OpenGeoDa and other software,using spatial correlation analysis,spatial econo⁃metric model,multiple regression and other methods,this paper selects the panel data of 31 provinces from 2008 to 2018 to reveal the long-term dynamic effects between tourism development,technological innovation and economic growth from both theoretical and empirical aspects,and from the perspective of spillover effect measurement,this paper quantifies the promoting effect of tourism development,technological innovation,integration and interaction of tourism development and technological innovation on economic growth.The results show that from the perspective of overall spillover path,the spill⁃over effect of technological innovation on economic growth has amplification effect,the effect of tourism development spill⁃over promoting economic growth has partial sharing,and the interaction spillover effect of tourism development and tech⁃nological innovation has become a growth obstacle;from the perspective of regional spillover pattern,the economic growth in the eastern region is technological innovation oriented,the economic growth in the central region is tourism and technol⁃ogy integration,and the economic growth in the western region is tourism development oriented.
作者
唐夕汐
夏青
陈非
TANG Xixi;XIA Qing;CHEN Fei(Guangdong University of Education,Management School,Guangzhou 510303,China)
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第10期48-55,共8页
East China Economic Management
基金
广东省哲学社会科学“十三五”规划2018年度学科共建项目“大学生创业驱动机理及促进政策研究”(GD18XGL10)
广东省高校省级重点平台和重大科研项目“中小学研学旅行的基础理论、发展战略及实施路径研究”(2017GXJK128)。
关键词
旅游发展
技术创新
经济增长
溢出效应
tourism development
technological innovation
economic growth
spillover effect
