摘要
南方五省区交通领域电气化水平低于全国平均水平,通过发展电动汽车产业能够有效提升交通领域电气化水平。本文运用实地调研与数据分析等研究方法,对南方五省区(广东、广西、云南、贵州、海南)电动汽车(含纯电动和插电混动汽车)市场及充电服务设施进行了现状研究与市场规模预测。在现状研究方面,考虑到电动汽车属于新兴产业,本文主要分析了南方五省区电动汽车产业政策、市场规模、竞争格局等。本文创新运用时间序列+灰色预测模型,预测了南方五省区电动汽车保有量以及满足未来车桩比的充电桩数量,希望为政策制定者、科研工作者及各市场参与者提供决策参考。
The electrification level of the five provinces(regions)in transportation area is lower than the national average,thus the development of the electric vehicle(Abbrev.EV)industry can effectively improve the level of electrification in the transportation area.This paper is meant to analyze the development of the EV market in the five provinces(regions)of Southern China(refer to Guangdong,Guangxi,Yunnan,Guizhou and Hainan province)based on the understanding of the current EV industry,and provides an outlook of the market scale by using on-spot investigation and data analysis.In terms of the present situation analysis,it makes the study of industry policy,market scale and competition pattern.Meanwhile,it innovatively uses the time series+the Grey forecast mode to estimate the scale of EV market and charging devices in the five provinces(regions)of Southern China.The results would be useful for the government,the researcher and the investor to make decisions.
出处
《中国能源》
2020年第7期42-47,共6页
Energy of China
关键词
电动汽车
充电桩
市场分析
市场预测
南方五省区
Electric Vehicle
Charging Device
Market Analysis
Market Forecast
Five Provinces(Regions)in Southern China
