摘要
居民部门正成为我国最具有发展潜力的能源消费领域。电力作为居民生活用能的主要消费形态,提高用电效率被认为是减少居民能源消费量的主要方法之一。但是由于能源回弹效应的存在,提高能源效率的政策并没有预期的有效。本文分别构建了面板线性模型和面板阈值模型对2010—2016年中国居民用电量的直接回弹效应进行了实证分析。结果表明:2010—2016年,中国居民用电的平均回弹效应为37.4%;高收入地区(PGDP>76023.67),居民用电量对电价不敏感,低收入地区(PGDP≤76023.67)直接回弹效应是41.92%。因此,政府在制定能源政策时,可以考虑制定和实施一些减少回弹效应的配套政策,并且可以在高收入地区重点开展能效政策。
The residential sector is becoming the most potential energy consumption sector in China.As the main consumption form of residential energy,the improvement of electricity efficiency is considered as a main method to reduce residential energy consumption.Nevertheless,in the presence of rebound effect(RE),policies to improve energy efficiency don’t work as well as we’d expect.In this article,the direct RE of residents’electricity use in China is analyzed empirically based on the panel linear model and the panel threshold model respectively from 2010 to 2016.The results indicate that:the average RE of China’s residential electricity use is 37.4%;residential electricity consumption is not sensitive to the electricity price in high-income regime(PGDP>76023.67),while the direct RE is 41.92%in low-income regime(PGDP≤76023.67).It indicates that government can consider formulating and implementing some supporting policies when setting energy policies and focus on the implementation of energy efficiency policies in high income and low population regions.
作者
赵新刚
李佩玲
ZHAO Xin-gang;LI Pei-ling(School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China)
出处
《华北电力大学学报（社会科学版）》
2020年第4期62-71,共10页
Journal of North China Electric Power University(Social Sciences)
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目“可再生能源配额交易制度对能源系统的影响机理与适应策略研究”(71273088)
北京市社科基金资助项目“京津冀地区节能减排政策协同效应研究”(16JDYJB031)。
关键词
直接回弹效应
面板阈值模型
居民用电
direct rebound effect
panel threshold model
residential electricity consumption
