摘要
在全面建成小康社会以后实现共同富裕的过程中,贫困现象并不能彻底消灭,如何进一步巩固脱贫成果,确保"贫困脆弱性群体"彻底摆脱贫困、实现低收入群体的稳步增收是我国实现共同富裕目标面临的一个新任务和新课题。文章基于CFPS 2012年和2016年微观数据,根据期望贫困的脆弱性(VEP)定义和方法测算了我国农村家庭贫困脆弱性水平,研究发现,所有家庭未来陷入贫困的平均可能性在2012年为26.4%,2016年为5.3%,且非脆弱家庭脱贫比例与脆弱家庭相比高出18%,脆弱家庭返贫比例与非脆弱家庭相比高出10.2%。
In the process of achieving common prosperity after fully building a well-off society,poverty cannot be completely eliminated.How to further consolidate the results of poverty alleviation,ensure that the"poor vulnerable groups"completely get rid of poverty,and realize the steady income increase of low-income groups is a new task and new subject facing my country in achineving the goal of common prosperity.Based on the CFPS 2012 and 2016 micro data,this article measured the poverty vulnerability level of rural households in China according to the definition and method of vulnerability to expected poverty.The study found that the average likelihood of all households falling into poverty in the future was 26.4%in 2012 and 2016 it is 5.3%,and the proportion of non-fragile families out of poverty is 18%higher than that of fragile families,and the proportion of vulnerable families returning to poverty is 10.2%higher than that of non-fragile families.
作者
李凯
Li Kai(School of Economics,Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,Nanjing,Jiangsu,210046)
出处
《市场周刊》
2020年第7期150-153,共4页
Market Weekly
基金
江苏省研究生科研创新计划“江苏省农村低收入家庭的异质性与收入增长研究”(项目编号:KYCX19_1365)。