摘要
基于2010年中西部五省大样本农户调查数据,本文对中国农村低保的反贫困效应及其决定因素进行了系统的实证研究。结果表明,农村低保显著降低了实保样本的贫困水平,但其对总样本和应保样本的减贫效果则不太理想。覆盖率低、瞄准偏误高,以及救助水平不足严重限制了农村低保的减贫效果。而导致这些限制因素的原因则包括地方财力不足、低保管理模式不当、农村配套社保政策不完善,以及家计调查中存在的测量误差等。政策模拟结果显示,中国农村低保反贫困效应仍然存在很大的改善空间。建立精准识别机制将是改善农村低保减贫效应的重要途径。
Based on large sample household survey data from five provinces in central and western regions in 2010, this paper studies the anti - poverty effectiveness of Rural Minimum Living Standard Assistance （RMLSA） and its determinants. The results show that： the RMLSA has considerable anti -poverty effects on participating sample, although its effects on the whole sample and eligible sample are much less significant. The determinants of its anti -poverty effect include low coverage rate, high targeting error and assistant inadequacy. And these determinants are attributable to the insufficiency of local government financial ability, improper management pattern, lack of other social security policy in rural areas, and measurement error in means test. Policy simulation results indicate that it still has much room to improve in RMLSA. Establishing precise identification mechanism will be an important way to improve the anti -poverty effectiveness of RMLSA.
出处
《经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第6期63-77,共15页
Economic Review
基金
北京师范大学青年教师社会科学研究基金项目"中国中西部地区农村低保政策的运行状况及反贫困效果研究"(项目编号:105502GK)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目"中国农村老年人口的贫困特征及影响因素研究"(项目编号:2012WYB14)的资助
关键词
农村低保
反贫困效应
瞄准偏误
政策模拟
Rural Minimum Living Standard Assistance
Anti -poverty Effectiveness
Targeting Error
Policy Simulation
