摘要
近年来,人工智能、大数据和5G等新一代ICT技术发展日新月异,正加速向实体经济融合渗透,“新兴ICT能否切实赋能制造业、提升生产率进而推动经济高质量增长”受到学术界的普遍重视。ICT生产率悖论及其产生原因、突破路径,显然都是非常重要的理论与现实问题。悖论提出30多年来,虽然对其的最新研究成果不断涌现,但非常缺乏系统地梳理,特别是缺乏对如何突破生产率悖论的总结。本文从宏观和微观层面系统梳理了ICT生产率悖论的演进轨迹,并对悖论的解释进行了归纳。特别地,本文总结并详细阐述了宏观和微观层面跨越ICT生产率悖论的路径选择,对突破生产率悖论的相关理论和经验研究加以总结和评述,以期为中国更好地依托新型ICT推进智能制造战略进而推动经济高质量增长提供借鉴。本文在详细分析这些突破路径的同时,还尝试展望了未来进一步研究的方向。
In recent years,the development of new generation ICT such as Artificial Intelligence,Big Data and 5G is changing rapidly and is penetrating into the real economy.“Whether advancing ICTs can actually empower manufacturing,increase productivity,and promote high-quality economic growth”is generally valued by academia.The ICT productivity paradox,its causes and breakthrough paths are obviously very important theoretical and practical issues.The paradox has been put forward for more than 30 years,although its latest research results continue to emerge,there is a lack of systematic combing,especially the lack of a summary of how to break through the productivity paradox.This article systematically sorts out the evolution trajectory of the ICT productivity paradox from the three levels of country,industry and enterprise,and summarizes the explanation of the paradox.In particular,this article summarizes and elaborates on the macro and micro levels of the path selection across the ICT productivity paradox,summarizes and comments on the relevant theoretical and empirical research to break through the productivity paradox,in order to provide a reference for China to better rely on the advancing ICT to promote smart manufacturing strategies and thus promote high-quality economic growth.While analyzing these breakthrough paths in detail,this paper also attempts to look into the direction of further research in the future.
作者
何小钢
王善骝
He Xiao-gang;Wang Shan-liu
出处
《经济学家》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第7期42-52,共11页
Economist
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“信息通讯技术与企业生产率:理论机制、实现路径与微观证据”(71963017)
国家社会科学基金一般项目“共享经济下的产业价值网络创新机制与路径研究”(17BGL034)
江西省研究生创新项目“ICT与企业库存:基于我国微观企业数据的实证研究”(YC2018-S234)。
