摘要
城市化、工业化的发展,承包地三权分置的放活促使了耕地非粮化现象的加剧。利用PVAR模型,分析了农民收入与耕地非粮化的动态关系,探讨了农民收入结构对耕地非粮化产生的影响。结果表明,2002-2017年,耕地非粮化面积和非粮化率的变化趋势基本一致,在不同阶段受经济发展、国家政策等的影响展现出不同的特点。耕地非粮化主要受农民工资性收入影响,家庭经营性收入、财产性收入和转移性收入对非粮化有显著的积极作用,但对非粮化的长期贡献率较小。
The development of urbanization,industrialization and the liberalization of the separation of powers of contracted land have accelerated the non-grain phenomenon of farmland.Using the PVAR model,the dynamic relationship between farmers'income and non-grain farmland was analyzed,and the impact of farmers'income structure on non-grain farmland was discussed.The results show that from 2002 to 2017,the change trend of non-grain area and non-grain rate of farmland is basically the same,showing different characteristics at different stages under the influence of economic development and national policies.Non-grain farmland is mainly affected by farmers'wage income.Household operating income,property income and transfer income have a significant positive effect on non-grain farmland,but the long-term contribution rate is small.
作者
李娅娅
赵小风
LI Ya-ya;ZHAO Xiao-feng(School of Public Administration,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China)
出处
《湖北农业科学》
2020年第8期210-214,共5页
Hubei Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目(41871173)。
