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世界出口林产品质量发展态势及其影响因素分析--基于改进的Nested-Logit模型 被引量:2

A Research on the Measurement and the Influencing Factors of Exported Forest Products Quality Worldwide Based on the Improved Nested-Logit Model
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摘要 文中采用Khandelwal提出的Nested-Logit模型测度2001-2015年中国等15个主要林产品贸易强国的出口林产品质量指数,随后采用面板数据模型分析影响出口林产品质量的主要因素。结果显示:发展中国家出口林产品质量发展态势相对一致,总体呈现为稳步增长;发达国家出口林产品质量发展趋势分化明显,存在缓慢增长、小幅波动、缓慢下降等几种态势;国家间出口林产品质量影响因素存在较大差异,发展中国家出口林产品质量受技术水平和出口规模影响更为显著,发达国家受出口国国际贸易自由度和出口目的地经济发展水平影响较为显著。中国木材加工企业应通过紧跟国内消费需求、谋求国际市场多元化、重视设备技术提升等手段提升木质林产品质量和品牌建设,以质量和品牌实现差异化的国际竞争战略,进而谋取更大的国际市场和更高的利润空间。 This paper uses the improved Nested-Logit model proposed by Khandelwal to measure the quality index of exported forest products in the 15 major countries between 2001 and 2015,and then uses panel data model to analyze the influencing factors to their qualities.The results show:1)The quality of exported forest products in developing countries are relatively consistent and steadily growing,while the quality of exported forest products in developed countries differ evidently with each other,showing different development trends such as slow growth,slight fluctuations and slow drop;2)The influencing factors to the quality of the exported forest products are significant different between the developing countries and the developed countries.The exported forest products quality in developing countries is more influenced by the technical level and export volume while the quality in developed countries is obviously impacted by the international trade freedom of exporting countries and the economic development level of export destination.Wood processing plants in China should try their best to improve the quality and the brand of their forest products by keeping up with the domestic consumption demand,seeking international diversified markets and adopting new equipment and technology,and access to larger international markets and higher profit margins with differential international strategy around quality and brand.
作者 蒋波 戴永务 Jiang Bo;Dai Yongwu(College of Economics,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002,China;College of Management,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fuzhou 350002,China)
出处 《世界林业研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2020年第2期20-25,共6页 World Forestry Research
基金 国家自然科学基金面上项目“制度质量对木材加工企业国际竞争力的影响研究”(71973027)。
关键词 出口林产品 质量 LOGIT模型 面板数据 因素分析 exported forest product quality Nested-Logit Model panel date factor analysis
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