摘要
通过模糊综合评价法构建政府、民众、农户与媒体4个主体应对禽流感病毒H7N9重大疫情的模型,分析4个主体对疫情的作用效果。结果显示政府的得分最高,其次是媒体、农户和民众,表明政府对疫情作用效果最为明显,媒体传播作用也较为突出,但农户防范行为还需加强,民众自身能力仍需有进一步提升。基于此结果构建H7N9疫情主体的作用机制图,分析各主体的责任与义务,其中政府的监测与控制、农户的检测与管理等防控行为的优化尤为重要,媒体的传播与农民的预防等行为的提升也是防范疫情的重要手段。
Based on the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, the responses of the government, the public, the farmers and the media to the major epidemic of H7 N9 were modeled and analyzed.The results showed that the response of the government scored the highest, followed by that of the media, farmers and the general public, indicating that the government’s function was the most evident, and the role of the media was quite important.However, the farmers’ preventive behavior needs to be strengthened, and the general public’s preventive ability required enhancement.Based on this result, a diagram of the functional mechanism of the major subjects in dealing with the epidemic of H7 N9 epidemic was constructed, and the responsibilities and obligations of each subject are analyzed and assigned.Of the responsibilities and obligations, the optimization of the monitoring and control by the government, of the detection and management by the farmers, and of the related prevention and control behaviors is particularly important.The promotion of dissemination by the media and the prevention by the general public was also an important means of preventing the epidemic of H7 N9.
作者
张华颖
刘芳
徐伟楠
何忠伟
ZHANG Huaying;LIU Fang;XU Weinan;HE Zhongwei(Institute of Economics and Management,Beijing Agricultural University/Beijing New Rural Construction Research Base,Beijing 102206,China)
出处
《畜牧与兽医》
北大核心
2020年第1期141-147,共7页
Animal Husbandry & Veterinary Medicine
基金
国家自然科学基金(71873018)
北京市属高等学校高层次人才引进与培养计划项目(CIT&TCD20170310)。
关键词
模糊综合评价法
疫情主体
作用机制
fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
subjects in the epidemic of H7N9
mechanism of action
