摘要
本文从省际角度分析技术创新能力、标准化水平和经济增长的互动关系,根据2001-2017年我国东中部地区19个省区市的面板数据,基于面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型进行实证研究。结果显示:我国东中部地区技术创新、标准化和经济增长等经济变量之间存在数量上的动态关系,但是具有异质性。技术创新与经济增长之间的相互影响以负效应为主,但中期技术创新对经济增长仍有促进作用;总体而言:标准化与经济增长之间的相互影响以正效应为主;技术创新与标准化之间的相互影响以正效应为主。从各变量的影响力度上看,技术创新对标准化、经济增长的作用效果均很小;经济增长、标准化对其他因素的影响力度都很大。最后从扩大存量,及时修订技术政策和投入方向,持续深化标准化工作改革,提高经济技术政策与区域、国家规划的协调性等方面提出政策建议。
The interactive relationship among technological innovation,standardization and economic growth is analyzed in the paper from a provincial perspective.Based on the panel data of 19 provinces and cities in Eastern and Central China from 2001 to 2017,an empirical study is conducted based on Panel Vector Autoregression(PVAR)model.The empirical results show that there is a quantitative dynamic relationship among technological innovation,standardization and economic growth in the Eastern and Central China,but there is heterogeneity.The interaction between technological innovation and economic growth is mainly negative,but in the medium term,technological innovation can still promote economic growth.The interaction between standardization and economic growth is mainly positive.The interaction between technological innovation and standardization is mainly positive.From the angle of the influence degree of each variable,the effects of technological innovation on standardization and economic growth are very limited.Economic growth and standardization have great influence on other factors.The suggestions are to expand stock,to revise the technology policy and R&D investment’s direction in time,continue deepening the reform of standardization,and improve the coordination between economic and technological policies and regional and national planning.
作者
王丽君
WANG Li-jun(China National Institute of Standardization,Beijing 100191,China)
出处
《技术经济与管理研究》
北大核心
2020年第4期54-59,共6页
Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金
2018年度国家社科基金重大项目(18ZDA079)。
关键词
专利存量
标准存量
PVAR模型
技术创新
Inventions’stock
Standards’stock
PVAR Model
Impulse response
Variance decomposition
