摘要
本文基于出口贸易规模、出口贸易结构、出口贸易竞争力三方面的描述统计,采用灰色关联度分析方法评价中国对中亚五国农产品出口贸易发展水平。研究发现:中国对中亚五国农产品出口贸易规模呈扩大趋势,出口贸易结构不断优化,贸易潜力巨大,出口贸易竞争力在哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦三国具有比较优势,在塔吉克斯坦、土库曼斯坦两国不具有比较优势;出口贸易发展水平较高,不同时段和时点变化特征明显。因此,中国与中亚五国应积极开展农业经贸合作,优化农业结构和贸易结构,统筹利用国际国内两个市场,不断提高农产品贸易发展水平。
Based on the description statistics of export trade scale, export trade structure, and export trade competitiveness, this paper uses the grey correlation analysis to evaluate the level of development of China’s agricultural export with five Central Asian countries.The study found that China’s export trade of agricultural products to the five Central Asian countries is expanding, and the export trade structure is not only optimized, however, the trade potential is huge. The export trade competitiveness has comparative advantages in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan. In Tajikistan and Turkmenistan, there is no comparative advantage;the level of export trade development is high, and the characteristics of changes at different times and points are obvious. Therefore, China and five central Asian countries in should actively carry out agricultural economic and trade cooperation, optimize the agricultural structure and trade structure, make overall use of the international market and domestic market, and continuously improve the level of agricultural product development.
作者
曹冲
夏咏
Cao Chong;Xia Yong(Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052,China)
出处
《新疆财经》
2020年第1期72-80,共9页
Finance & Economics of Xinjiang
基金
新疆维吾尔自治区软科学项目“丝绸之路经济带背景下新疆对中亚地区文化贸易对策研究”(201542110)
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
丝路经济
中国与中亚五国
农产品出口贸易
出口贸易规模
出口贸易结构
出口贸易竞争力
灰色关联度分析
the "Belt and Road" Initiative
Silk Road Economy
China and Five Central Asian Countries
Agricultural Product Export Trade
Export Trade Scale
Export Trade Structure
Export Trade Competitiveness
Grey Correlation Analysis
