摘要
农业可持续发展一直是国内外学者探讨的热点。文章采用2004-2015年我国农业生产面板数据,运用熵值法、探索性空间数据分析等方法分析我国农业可持续发展情况。结果表明:年际间我国农业可持续发展指数总体呈先波动下降再持续上升后持续下降的变化态势,其中农业可持续发展指数年均值为0.3515,且年均增长率为0.0609%;我国农业可持续发展指数整体较低,农业可持续发展指数由东部向西部地区呈递减分布态势;农业可持续发展指数主要处于高-高和低-低地区,处于高-高地区的省(市、区)主要分布在我国东部地区,处于低-低地区的省(市、区)均分布在我国西部地区。
The sustainable development of agriculture has always been a hot topic for scholars at home and abroad. In this paper, the panel data of agricultural production in China from 2004 to 2015 are used to analyze the sustainable development of agriculture in China by using the methods of entropy method and exploratory spatial data analysis. The results show that the annual agricultural sustainable development index in China has a tendency to fluctuate first, then continue to rise and continue to decline at last. Among them, the annual average of agricultural sustainable development index is 0.3515, and the average annual growth rate is 0.0609%. The index of agricultural sustainable development in China is low as a whole, and the index of agricultural sustainable development is decreasing from east to west. The index of sustainable development is mainly in high-high and low-low regions. The provinces(cities and autonomous regions) in high-high areas are mainly distributed in the eastern part of China, and the provinces(cities and autonomous regions) in low-low areas are all distributed in the western part of China.
作者
张利国
鲍丙飞
杨胜苏
ZHANG Liguo;BAO Bingfei;YANG Shengsu(School of Economics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,Jiangxi,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第11期159-164,共6页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71663025)
江西省高校人文社科项目(JD17030)
江西省教育厅科技项目(GJJ160442)
江西省经济社会发展智库项目(17ZK22)
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2019M652271)
研究生创新专项资金项目(YC2018-B070)
2019年度湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会一般课题(XSP19YBZ141)
关键词
绿色发展
农业
可持续发展
空间自相关
时空演变
ESDA
green development
agricultural
sustainable development
spatial autocorrelation
spatio-temporal evolution
ESDA
