摘要
新时代背景下,我国经济发展处于转型的关键时期,天津市经济发展也处在新的十字路口.分析天津市对外贸易的发展,探究对外贸易与天津市经济增长的关系是值得研究的问题.基于此,选取天津市2000—2016年GDP、进口额、出口额、进出口总额的统计数据,运用VAR模型实证分析天津市对外贸易与经济增长的动态关系.研究表明:天津市对外贸易与经济增长存在双向促进作用;进出口对经济增长的影响存在差异性,进口对经济增长的贡献率大于出口.
Under the background of the new normal,the economics development in China is in the key period of transformation,and the economic development in Tianjin is also at a new crossroads.It is important to study the current foreign trade in Tianjin and explore the pulling effect of foreign trade on Tianjin's economic growth.Based on this,this paper selects the statistical data of 2000-2016 years GDP,import volume,export volume and total import and export volume in Tianjin,and applies VAR model to empirically analyze the dynamic relationship between Tianjin's foreign trade and economic growth.Research shows foreign trade and economic growth in Tianjin have a two-way driving effect;the influence of imports and exports trade on economic growth is heterogeneous,and its contribution to economic growth is greater than that of exports.
作者
赖迪辉
吴晓菲
LAI Dihui;WU Xiaofei(School of Economics and Management,TCU,Tianjin 300384,China)
出处
《天津城建大学学报》
2019年第6期455-460,共6页
Journal of Tianjin Chengjian University
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目（15BJY041）
天津市政府决策咨询重点课题（ZFZX2016-3）
