摘要
根据相关数据,从2013年到2021年我国的老龄化水平将由目前的15%提高到18%,老年人口年均增长700万人;而从2022年到2030年,老年人口迅猛增长,年均增长1260万人,老年人口总数达到3.71亿人,老龄化水平将达到25.3%;而到2053年,老年人口数增长到4.87亿人,老龄化水平将提升至34.9%;从2053年到2100年开始,老年人口增长期结束,中国将进入一个稳态的重度人口老龄化平台期。安徽省为人口大省应提前探索更多的养老模式,笔者结合参与策划设计的“黄山市昌仁医养综合体”项目,从医养结合养老模式视角研究其在安徽的发展路径。
According to relevant data,from 2013 to 2021,the aging level in China will increase from 15%to 18%,and the population of the elderly will increase by 7 million every year.From 2022 to 2030,the elderly population grew rapidly,with an average annual increase of 12.6 million,the total number of elderly people reaching 371 million,and the level of ageing will reach 25.3%;By 2053,the number of older people will have increased to 487 million and the level of ageing will rise to 34.9%;From 2053 to 2100,China will enter a period of steady-state and severe population aging,with the end of the growth period for the elderly population.Anhui Province should explore more old-age model in advance for population big province.Combining with the project Huangshan City Changren Medical Health Complex,the author studies its development path in Anhui Province from the perspective of medical care and endowment mode.
作者
李明
路善全
LI Ming;LU Shanquan(Huangshan University,Huangshan Anhui 245041)
出处
《山东农业工程学院学报》
2019年第9期111-114,共4页
The Journal of Shandong Agriculture and Engineering University
基金
教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(18YJC760072)阶段性成果
安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题攻关研究项目“医养结合养老模式及其在安徽的发展路径”(2018CX144)结项成果
黄山学院校编课题(PX-31171491)项目阶段性成果
黄山学院校编课题(2014xsk010)项目阶段性成果
关键词
医养结合
老年人
发展路径
combination of medicine and nursin
old people
devel opment path
