摘要
实现两岸和平的基础工作和必要条件之一,是理清民进党的社会基础,即关注支持民进党的选民所具备的特质。在台湾地区,哪些因素塑造选民投票行为?既有研究认为选民投票逻辑已从族群认同、"统独"认同、政党认同走向阶级认同。本研究通过引入"技能专有性"为投票理论提供新的解释框架:技能专有性同时决定经济收入与选民投票。技能专有性分为通用型技能和专用型技能两类,专用型技能劳动者多从事制造业工作,经济全球化造成的"去工业化"可能导致这部分劳动者面临失业风险,因而,他们在选举中更有可能支持满足他们利益诉求的政党。基于2016年的台湾选举和民主化调查的计量分析支持了上述观点。
One of the necessary conditions of achieving the cross-Strait peace lies in the clarification of the social base underlying the qualities of the DPP voters. What are the factors that affect voting behavior in Taiwan? As delineated by the existing literature, the determinants of voting behavior have been found to be involved in the identification ranging from such issues of ’identity politics’ as ethnicity,’independence versus unification’ stance, and party identification to class identification. With the introduction of ’skill specificity’, this study enriches the voting behavior theory with a new interpretative framework: skill specificity simultaneously determines both income and vote choice. Skill specificity consists of the specific skills and the general ones. Following economic globalization, the ’deindustrialization’ supposedly aggravates the unemployment risk imposed on specific-skilled workers, insofar as a vast majority of them are occupied in manufacturing industries. Therefore, workers of specific skills are more likely to vote for the political party that complies with their appeals. A quantitative analysis based on the 2016 Taiwan election and democratization studies confirms such theory as aforementioned.
作者
蒙克
凌争
Meng Ke;Ling Zheng
出处
《台湾研究集刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第4期10-21,共12页
Taiwan Research Journal
基金
2017年度国家社会科学基金重大项目“国家治理现代化与行政管理制度体系创新研究”(17ZDA104)
清华大学校团委“江村学者计划”
关键词
投票
技能专有性
阶级
收入
风险
voting behavior
skill specificity
class
income
risk
