摘要
保罗·罗默将知识、人力资本等因素引入经济增长模型当中,解决了新古典经济增长模型的技术进步外生化和收益递减两大缺陷,形成了新增长理论(内生增长理论)。中国经济自改革开放以来取得了巨大成绩,从新增长理论角度来看主要得益于人力资本、科学研究、产业结构调整、市场化和对外开放等方面的进步。借鉴新增长理论模型,立足我国经济发展实践,以五大发展理念为指导,确立了决定全要素生产率的五项主因素:技术创新、经济结构、生态效率、开放度、人力资本,构建了“主因素分析模型”。用主因素分析模型对我国31省市区以及长江经济带11省市分别进行了实证分析,把全要素生产率的贡献分解为五项主因素贡献之和。新增长理论对于我国经济高质量发展具有较大的指导意义。
Paul Romer introduced knowledge,human capital and other factors into the economic growth model,solved the two defects (exogenous technological and decreasing returns to scale) of the neoclassical economic growth model,and formed the new growth theory (the theory of endogenous growth).On the perspective of the new growth theory,Chinese economy has made great achievement since the reform and opening up,mainly due to the progress of human capital,scientific research,industrial restructuring,marketization and opening up to the outside world.Drawing on the new growth theory model,based on the practice of Chinese economic development and guided by the Five Development Concept,we have established five main factors that determine the total factor productivity: technological innovation,economic structure,ecological efficiency,openness and human capital,thus constructed the “main factor analysis model”.Using the main factor analysis model,the contribution of total factor productivity is divided into the five main factors.The new growth theory has great guiding significance for the high-quality development of Chinese economy.
作者
周绍森
胡德龙
ZHOU Shao-sen;HU De-long(Central China Economy Development Research Center,Nanchang University,Nanchang 330047,China;School of Economics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)
出处
《南昌大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2019年第4期71-81,共11页
Journal of Nanchang University(Humanities and Social Sciences)
基金
国家科技统计专项基金项目“科技创新对区域经济发展”贡献度测算方法研究(NSTS-2015-15)
关键词
内生增长理论
经济增长
主因素分析模型
endogenous growth theory
economic growth
main factor analysis model
