摘要
本文利用WWZ模型和最新WIOD数据,对中日印制造业四类行业出口贸易总额进行分解,对比分析了各类行业GVCs(全球价值链)分工和地位演变。研究表明:中日印制造业已深深嵌入到GVCs中,但中国仍以最终出口品为主,中间晶出口占比较低;中日各类行业均表现为以后向参与GVCs为主,但其VS内部结构并不相同,中日之间仍有较大差距;相对于日本和印度,中国各行业在GVCs分工中的地位不断提升;印度在LT(低技术)行业发展迅速,2011-2014年间,其DVA增速、INT和FDC占比等指标已超越中国;报告期内,中国四类行业GVCs地位指数呈现为下降-上升趋势,全球金融危机对中国MLT(中低技术)行业的GVCs地位指数负向影响较大。
This paper used the WWZ model and the latest WIOD data to decompose the total export trade of the four categories of manufacturing industry in China, Japan and India, and analyzed the division of labor and status of GVCs in various industries. Studies had shown that the manufacturing industry of China, Japan and India has been deeply embedded in GVCs, but China still dominates the final export products, and the intermediate products account for a relatively low proportion. The various industries in China and Japan are mainly participating in GVCs in backward linkage, but the internal structure of VS is not the same. There is still a big gap between China and Japan. Compared with Japan and India, the status of Chinas various industries in the division of labor in GVCs continues to increase. Indias LT industry is developing rapidly. And during 2011-2014, its DVA growth rate, INT and FDC ratios have surpassed China. During the reporting period, the GVCs status indexes of Chinas four types of industries show a downward-upward trend, and the global financial crisis has asignificant negative impact on the GVCs status index of Chinas MLT industry.
作者
张朕
周京奎
蔡礼辉
Zhang Zhen;Zhou Jingkui;Cai Lihui
出处
《经济问题探索》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第8期116-126,168,共12页
Inquiry Into Economic Issues
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“京津冀交通、环境及产业协同发展机制创新研究”(15ZDA019),项目负责人:周京奎
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“产业转型升级与创新型经济发展——以要素价格-技术选择动态关系视角的理论与实证研究”(14JJD790004),项目负责人:周京奎
中央高校基金科研业务专项资金资助项目“结构性改革与经济表现”(63192214),项目负责人:李月