摘要
全球气候变化是人类社会共同关注的一个热点问题。然而,目前国内对气候变化经济学方法论的研究并不多见。首先,界定了天气、气候、天气效应和气候效应等几个气候变化经济学的基本概念,并介绍了利用天气变化识别气候变化效应的科学理论基础。然后,介绍了气候经济学领域比较常用的计量经济学方法及其在实证研究中的应用,具体包括生产函数法、特征价格法等截面数据分析方法,固定效应模型、分布滞后模型、非线性模型和交互项方法等面板数据分析方法,以及以长期平均法、长期差分法为代表的混合分析方法。文章还进一步对这些分析方法的特色和优缺点进行了比较。最后,对气候变化计量经济研究方法的发展现状进行了简要评述并指出未来值得研究拓展的方向。
Global climate change is a common concern of the human society. However, there are few studies which introduces methodology of climate change econometrics.Firstly, this paper defines several basic concepts in climate change economics, such as weather, climate, weather effect and climate effect.Second, introduce the econometric methods commonly used in climate economics and their application in empirical research. It includes cross-section data analysis, such as production function and hedonic approach;panel data analysis, such as panel data fixed effect model, distributed lag model, nonlinear model and interactive term and compound analysis, such as long-average approach and long difference approach.And show the advantages and disadvantages of these methods. Finally, this paper comments the current research and points out the direction of further research.
作者
李承政
李旭辉
顾海英
LI Cheng-zheng;LI Xu-hui;GU Hai-ying(Institute of Economic and Social Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510632, China;Antai School of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200030, China)
出处
《城市与环境研究》
CSSCI
2019年第1期95-111,共17页
Urban and Environmental Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“气候变化背景下低碳农林业发展战略及政策研究:基于作用、潜力和成本效益的分析”(批准号:71333010)
国家社会科学重大项目“共享发展理念下的我国新型城乡土地制度体系构建研究”(批准号:16ZDA019)
广东省自然科学基金青年项目“空气污染、极端天气对中国农村老年人劳动供给行为的影响研究”(批准号:2018A030310658)
关键词
气候
天气
气候变化效应
识别
实证方法
climate
weather
effects of climate change
identification
empirical methods
