摘要
环喜马拉雅经济合作带的建设将有利于加强区域经济合作,促进中国西进南下和沿线国家经济发展复苏,进一步丰富“一带一路”倡议内涵,对中国国内产业升级,促进形成经济“内循环”,地区均衡发展,加速新时代西藏经济新旧动能转换,高速、高质量、稳定、跨越式发展均具有重要意义。通过对南亚大通道的历史与发展现状、环喜马拉雅经济合作带发展展望、GTAP模型有关贸易问题研究文献的梳理,运用GTAP模型对环喜马拉雅经济合作带的经济发展政策进行模拟,发现在关税和非关税贸易壁垒改善的情况下,环喜马拉雅经济合作带对中国经济始终有促进作用,对大部分成员国经济发展也有一定的促进作用。秉承“共商、共建、共享”的原则,促进各国贸易规则、标准、法律法规融合对接。以口岸自贸区建设为先导,先试点,再推广,循序渐进,狠抓质量,方可形成经贸合作的“大统一”,促成合作共赢。
Developing frontier trade is an important starting point for implementing good-neighborly friendship and developing the economy of remote ethnic areas. It is of great significance to construct the Economic Cooperation Belt around Himalayas. It will help strengthen regional economic cooperation, speed up the westward and southward advancement of China and facilitate the economic recovery of the countries along the line, further enrich the content of the “Belt and Road” initiative, upgrade China’sdomestic industry, and promote the formation of “internal circulation” and the balanced development of the economy. Besides, it will accelerate the transformation of new and old kinetic energy of Tibet’seconomy in the new era and the achievement of its leap-forward development with high speed, high quality and stability. Through the analysis of the history and development status of the South Grand Passage, the prospects of the Economic Cooperation Belt around Himalayas, and the related literature on trade issues of the GTAP model, this paper applies the GTAP model to simulate the economic development policies of the Economic Cooperation Belt around Himalayas. The result shows that with the improvement of tariff and non-tariff trade barriers, the belt has always played a role in promoting the Chinese economy and has a certain role in promoting the economic development of most member states. Adhering to the principle of “consultation, co-construction and sharing”, it has promoted the integration and docking of trade rules, standards, laws and regulations of all countries. Only by taking the construction of f the port free trade zone as the forerunner, piloting first, then popularizing, step by step, and paying close attention to quality, can we form a “grand unity” of economic and trade cooperation and promote win-win cooperation in the construction of the Economic Cooperation Belt around Himalayas.
作者
王亮
黄德林
WANG Liang;HUANG De-lin(Institute of Agricultural Economy and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China;School of Finance and Economics, Tibet University, Lhasa 850000, Tibet, China)
出处
《学术探索》
2019年第6期53-60,共8页
Academic Exploration
基金
国家农业政策分析与决策支持系统开放实验室:“一带一路”农业战略分析平台建设(Y2016PT24)
国家农业政策分析与决策支持系统开放实验室:“一带一路”农业战略分析平台建设拓展、开放与交流项目(Y2018PT31)
中国农业科学院国家农业政策分析与决策支持系统开放实验室开放与交流项目(Y2017PT08)
关键词
一带一路
环喜马拉雅经济合作带
贸易自由化
GTAP模型
贸易便利化
the “Belt and Road” initiative
the Economic Cooperation Belt around Himalayas
trade liberalization
the GTAP model
trade facilitation
