摘要
我国在40年改革开放中,经历了物流业高级化、两业联动等集成体主导网链的产业发展过程,从承接国外企业全球价值链的“世界工厂”,发展到当前构建国家价值链并主导网链绿色延伸到“一带一路”产能合作的全球价值链。这一链条是由集成体、基核和联接键形成的网链结构。由于跨地域的多集成体、多基核、多类型联接键形成的网链极易受内外部环境的交织影响,会因风险积累超过阈值导致网链危机乃至出现突发事件而遭受严重损失。对208个国际产能合作案例进行巴雷特分析,构建网链风险识别、危机转化与应急处理的集成管理机制,结果显示,国家间关系是“一带一路”产能合作的最高级别风险,也是损失最严重的风险来源。因此,应将国家间关系这类突发事件风险预警、危机转化和应对管控集成起来应对,将风险识别和危机转化纳入集成应对机制“;一带一路”产能合作应将国家间关系的非常规治理纳入常规管理工作过程,在危机转化的关键时刻,国家应介入集成体主导的网链突发事件的国家政策势能可作用范围;规避风险累积、避免危机恶化,是防止突发事件导致重大损失的重要途径。
In the past 40 years of reform and opening up,China has experienced the industrial development process of the network chain led by the integrator,such as the advanced logistics industry and the linkage of the two industries. In the past, China was mainly the“world factory”of the global value chain of foreign companies. At present,it is trying to build a national value chain,and the leading network chain will be green extended to the global value chain with the“Belt and Road”capacity cooperation. For the“Belt and Road”capacity cooperation of the integrated field perspective,the industrial chain is regarded as the network chain structure formed by the integrator,the base nuclear and the connection key. The cross-regional network chain formed by multi-integrator,multi-base nuclear and multi-type connection key is highly susceptible to cross-interaction of its internal and external environments. When risk accumulation exceeds a threshold,network chain crises and even emergencies may occur serious loss. It uses the integration field perspective to regard the logistics chain,supply chain,supply chain integration and industrial chain as homomorphic network chains. The authors summarize 205 cases of international industrial transfer and capacity cooperation,analyze the relationship between risk identification and crisis response,and build an integrated operation mechanism for network chain risk identification,crisis management and emergency management. It is the main idea,method and strategy choice of the“Belt and Road”capacity cooperation to avoid risk accumulation,avoid crisis caused by emergencies,implement integrated response and control which used the integrated field to enhance the national value chain,risk identification,crisis response and emergency management integrated operation in the global network chain competition.
作者
董千里
闫柏睿
DONG Qian-li;YAN Bo-rui(Chang’an University,Xi’an,Shaanxi710064,China)
出处
《中国流通经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第6期74-86,共13页
China Business and Market
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“基于集成场全球价值链视角的‘一带一路’产能合作研究”(17BJL063)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目“集成场同态网链结构境外低碳延伸及其治理关系研究”(300102238654)
关键词
网链
产能合作
突发事件
集成场
“一带一路”
network chain
capacity cooperation
emergencies
integration field
the Belt and Road
