摘要
随着自然灾害诱发工业事故的增加,多灾种耦合影响下的化工园区脆弱性研究受到广泛关注。本文对国内外脆弱性的相关概念进行归纳总结,分析风险与脆弱性之间的关系;通过分析化工园区多灾种耦合内涵,构建多灾种耦合脆弱性框架,研究化工园区在单一灾害、两次灾害及多灾种耦合作用下的脆弱性演化过程;依据多灾种耦合脆弱性评估的思路,划分多灾种耦合脆弱性现有评估方法,分析各评估方法的优缺点;结合化工园区多灾种耦合脆弱性特点,提出面向多重扰动时化工园区脆弱性评估中亟待开展的研究内容,为深入开展多灾种耦合脆弱性评估提供依据。
With the increase of industrial accidents induced by natural disasters, the research on the vulnerability of Chemical Industry Park under the influence of coupled multi-hazard has received extensive attention. By summarizing the related concepts of vulnerability, the relationship between risk and vulnerability was analyzed. By analyzing the connotation of coupled multi-hazard in Chemical Industry Park, a coupled multi-hazard vulnerability framework was build, and the vulnerability evolution process under the single disaster, double disasters and coupled multi-hazard was studied. Based on the thoughts of coupled multi-hazard vulnerability assessment approach, the existing assessment methods for coupled multi-hazard vulnerability were divided, and the advantages and disadvantages of each assessment method were analyzed. Combined with the characteristics of coupled multi-hazard vulnerability in the Chemical Industry Park, the research that needed to be carried out in the vulnerability assessment of Chemical Industry Park when facing multi-perturbation was put forward, and the basis for the in-depth development of coupled multi-hazard vulnerability assessment was provided.
作者
陈国华
邹梦婷
黄孔星
杨运锋
CHEN Guohua;ZOU Mengting;HUANG Kongxing;YANG Yunfeng(Institute of Safety Science & Engineering,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong,China)
出处
《化工进展》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第5期2527-2535,共9页
Chemical Industry and Engineering Progress
基金
国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0801500)
国家自然科学基金(21576102
21878102)
关键词
脆弱性
多灾种耦合
化工园区
风险
前沿
vulnerability
coupled multi-hazard
Chemical Industry Park
risk
frontier
