摘要
基于山西省1987—2012年六张投入产出表数据,通过构建包含省际贸易因素的IO-SDA模型,对山西省CO_2排放总量及CO_2完全排放强度的影响因素进行再分解,从省域整体及分行业角度,分时间段讨论影响山西省CO_2排放增长的各种直接效应与间接效应。研究发现,消费扩张效应、投资扩张效应、省际调出扩张效应等经济规模扩张因素为山西省CO_2排放的主要促增因素,省际调出扩张效应影响最大,这证实省际贸易因素在山西省这类能源输出型省份CO_2排放格局中发挥着不容忽视的作用;直接能耗强度效应为关键促降因素;另外,不同时间段内山西省各行业CO_2排放的主要促增、促降因素及其影响程度存在明显差异。
Based on constructing the IO-SDA model using the six input-output tables of Shanxi from 1987 to 2012, this paper re-decomposes the influencing factors of CO2 emissions and the CO2 full emissions intensity, then discusses various direct and indirect effects of CO2 emission growth in different time periods from the perspective of the overall province and sub-industry. The study finds that the effects of economic scale expansion such as consumption, investment, and inter-provincial outflow are the main promoting factors of CO2 emissions, and the inter-provincial outflow expansion effect is the largest, which confirms that the inter-provincial trade factors play an important role in the CO2 emission pattern of energy-exporting provinces like Shanxi. The direct energy intensity effect is the key reducing factor. In addition, in different periods, there are obvious differences in the factors promoting and reducing CO2 emissions and the impact in various industries.
作者
丛建辉
王晓培
张婷婷
张进鹏
Cong Jianhui;Wang Xiaopei;Zhang Tingting;Zhang Jinpeng(School of Economics and Management,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030006,China;Shanxi Green Development Research Center,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030006,China;School of Environment,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China)
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第6期229-239,共11页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
世界银行PMR项目"山西参与碳排放权交易关键问题研究"(P145586)
2017年国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目"山西省消费侧碳排放及其影响因素:基于MRIO模型和SDA方法的分析"(201710108002)
山西省研究生教育改革研究课题"气候变化背景下地方高校经济学科‘应对气候变化’课程设置及其教学体系构建"(2017JG21)
