摘要
利用开放式空间计量建模技术,构建产业结构空间杜宾模型,并在区位视角下分解产业结构的本地效应与溢出效应。结果表明:农林水务、城镇化、公共安全支出、教育、文化传媒、居民消费通过影响劳动力跨区聚集,制约区域产业结构升级;老龄化引起各省对劳动力需求竞争加剧,主导着劳动力跨区聚集,是产业结构升级的瓶颈;医疗卫生、节能环保、住房保障、一般公共服务、出口、科技能诱导劳动力就近聚集,有助于产业结构升级。
This paper uses the open space measurement modeling technology to build the industrial structure space model (SDM). Empirical analysis shows that regional conflicts restrict the industrial structure upgrading, the balance efficiency is difficult to release, and conventional nodes (agricultural water, urban, public safety, education, culture media, residents′ consumption) become the control node. The structure of the population has led to the changes of industrial structure, which together with social security expenditure has become the bottleneck of upgrading. The health, energy saving, environmental protection, housing security, the general public services, export, and technology are the six major industrial structure upgrade pillars.
作者
殷李松
伯娜
贾敬全
YIN LiSong;BO Na;JIA JingQuan(School of Economics, Huaibei Normal University, Huaibei 235000)
出处
《财贸研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第2期38-45,共8页
Finance and Trade Research
基金
安徽省自然科学基金项目"区位系统诱导:产业结构升级的空间效应与决策仿真研究"(1808085MG227)
安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目"安徽县城经济空间格局演变与互联研究"(AHSKY2016D104)
安徽省教育厅人文社科重点研究基地重点项目"皖北地区城镇化水平与就业问题协调研究"(SK2017A0347)
关键词
产业结构
区位
定向诱导
SDM模型
industrial structure
location
oriented induction
SDM model
