摘要
[目的/意义]旨在在情报分析中加入元推理判断,提高情报产品质量。[方法/过程]将认知心理学中有关元推理判断的研究成果引入情报分析,以目标中心情报流程为例具体阐述应用机制。[结果/结论]在情报分析中应用元推理判断,可以减少认知偏见造成的情报失误,这种元认知监测工具的实用性值得进一步探索。
[Purpose/significance]The paper is to apply meta-reasoning judgment into intelligence analysis to improve the quality of intelligence products.[Method/process]The paper introduces the research of meta-reasoning judgement in the cognitive psychology into intelligence analysis,and elaborates the application mechanism by taking the target-centric intelligence process as an example.[Result/conclusion]The application of meta-reasoning judgement in the process of intelligence analysis could reduce the intelligence failures caused by cognitive biases.And the practicality of this meta-cognitive monitoring tool deserves further exploration.
作者
王代乐言
Wang Daileyan(School of Psychology,Fujian Normal University,Fuzhou Fujian 350117)
出处
《情报探索》
2019年第2期30-35,共6页
Information Research
关键词
情报分析
认知偏见
元推理判断
应用研究
intelligence analysis
cognitive biases
meta-reasoning judgement
application study
