摘要
以区域及城乡居民收入收敛界定经济平衡发展,构建综合指标体系对我国省际动能转换及基本公共服务水平进行测算。基于测算结果,利用我国内地除西藏以外的30个省份2004—2016年的面板数据构建动态空间计量模型及面板门限模型,检验动能转换、基本公共服务对我国经济平衡发展的影响。结果表明:新旧动能转换有利于落后地区向经济前沿面追赶,但不利于城乡经济差距收敛;提高基本公共服务水平对促进区域经济平衡发展具有积极影响,但对城乡经济平衡发展的影响存在门限效应。此外,财政分权、房地产开发与老龄化也是影响中国经济平衡发展的显著因素。
This paper defined the balanced economic development as regional and urban-rural income convergence,and constructed a comprehensive index system to quantify the provincial energy conversion and public services level in China.Based on the measurement results,used the dynamic spatial econometric model and panel threshold model to test the impact of energy conversion and basic public services on the economic balanced development of China’s 30 provinces during 2004-2016.The results show that the energy conversion is conducive to the backward areas to catch up to the economic frontier,but is not conducive to narrow the economic gap between urban and rural.Improving the level of basic public services has a positive direct and indirect effects on promoting the balanced development of regional economy,but there is a threshold effect on the impact on the balanced development of urban and rural.In addition,fiscal decentralization,real estate investment and aging are also significant factors affecting the balanced development of China’s economy.
作者
徐鹏杰
XU Pengjie(School of Business,Liaocheng University,Liaocheng 252000,China)
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第1期6-10,共5页
Areal Research and Development
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(17BJY180)
山东社科规划项目
山东省委党校创新工程项目(18CDCJ26)
关键词
动能转换
基本公共服务
经济平衡发展
energy conversion
basic public services
economic balanced development
