摘要
以1996—2015年云南省农民人均纯收入的变化趋势及关联因素为研究对象,先结合同期农民的收入增速与城乡收入比两个指标,得出1996—2004年和2005—2015年两个差异化特征阶段。在此基础上,运用系统理论方法,对9个类型、26个影响因素与收入变化趋势进行关联度分析,从1996—2004和2005—2015两个演变区段的因素关联序列进行比较分析,得出影响因素差异性和阶段特征。通过两个演变区段的关联因素比较后发现:(1)个体/私营经济因素在农村社会中的活力显著提高,与农民收入关联度大幅增加;(2)村庄生活环境、生产条件的改善成为2005—2015年期间农民收入提高的最强关联因素;(3)城镇化、产业结构调整因素与农民收入增长的关联度明显降低。
Compared to the changing tendency of the rural inhabitant income growth and the disparity between urban and rural income of the period of 1996-2015,the paper concludes two distinctive periods of 1996-2004 and 2005-2015 to describe the growth characteristics of the rural inhabitant income in Yunnan Province.Based on these,the grey relational grade is employed to analyse the relational tendency between 9 types,altogether 26 influence factors and the rural inhabitant income growth.The major findings are as follows:(1)private sectors are playing a more significant role in improving the rural inhabitant income;(2)the enhancement activity of local living environment and working conditional level has been the most relevant factors to the growth of the rural inhabitant income during the period of 2005-2015;(3)the urbanization and the adjustment of economic structure have decreased in the relative effect to the growth of the rural inhabitant income.
作者
李云
刘毓锦
胡雅丽
金珊
LI Yun;LIU Yujing;HU Yali;JIN Shan(Achitechture and Urban Planning School,Shenzhen University,Shenzhen 518000,China;Shenzhen Key Laboratory for Optimizing Design of Built Environment,Shenzhen 518000,China)
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第5期165-169,175,共6页
Areal Research and Development
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51508334)
广东省自然科学基金资助项目(2015A030310276)
广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(GD15XGL50)
深圳大学人文社会科学科研项目(15QNFC39)
关键词
灰色系统理论
农民收入
云南省
grey relational grade
rural inhabitant income
Yunnan Province
