摘要
采用金砖五国非平衡面板数据,实证研究不同类型出口多样化与经济增长之间的非线性关系,并分析各因素对经济增长的驱动效应。研究表明,金砖五国出口多样化、垂直多样化和水平多样化与经济增长之间呈U型关系;由于各个国家的资源禀赋和出口产品附加值不同,导致出口结构存在显著差异,出口多样化与经济增长的关系显著不同;资本和劳动仍然是当前金砖国家经济增长的重要驱动力,未来应该更多地依靠技术进步和效率改进,这也有助于提高垂直多样化对经济增长的促进作用。
The paper studies non-linear relationship between different kinds of export diversification and economic growth,and analyses the driving forces of economic growth based on unbalanced data of BRICS.The result shows that,export diversification,vertical diversification and horizontal diversification have U-type relationship with economic growth;the relationship between export diversification and economic growth is different in countries,due to resource endowments and value added of goods;capital and labor are still important driving forces,but technological progress and efficiency improvements may become the main forces in the future.It is helpful to improve the role of vertical diversification.
作者
岑丽君
CEN Lijun(Global Institute for Zhejiang Merchants Development,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310023,China)
出处
《浙江工业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2018年第2期186-190,共5页
Journal of Zhejiang University of Technology：Social Sciences
基金
教育部人文社科研究青年项目(14YJC790005)
浙江省科技厅重点软科学研究项目(2015C25012)
浙江工业大学人文社科预研基金青年项目(浙工大社科[2015]4号)
关键词
水平多样化
垂直多样化
质量驱动
增长效率
horizontal diversification
vertical specialization
quality-driven
growth efficiency
