摘要
在厘清中国旅游业发展所经历的三个阶段并识别出不同发展阶段下主要驱动因子的基础上,以基于自主体模拟(Agent-based Simulation,ABS)为建模工具,构建不同旅游业发展阶段下旅游者行为的模拟模型。对旅游资源因子驱动下、市场因子驱动下和文化因子驱动下的中国旅游业空间分异进行模拟分析。研究表明:在旅游业发展的早期阶段,旅游资源是影响中国旅游业空间分异的基础因子;随着旅游经济发展,旅游资源对区域旅游业发展的重要性有所下降,市场逐渐成为中国旅游业空间分异的主导因子;由于旅游业发展受到旅游资源和市场因子的持续影响,文化因子对其引导作用则可能叠加在资源和市场因子的"惯性"作用之上,进一步强化中国旅游业的空间分异格局。
The research concerning the spatial differentiation of tourism industry is an important content in the field of tourism geography and even the field of human geography, which has since received widespread attention in the academic circles. However, the previous researches not only ignore the potential impact of culture on tourism development but also fail to explore the different driving factors under different developmental stages of tourism industry.Hence, on the one hand, the study puts forward the major driving factors affecting the spatial differentiation of Chinese tourism industry, namely, the spatial differentiation of tourism industry is primarily driven by tourism resources in China between the end of the 1970 s and the beginning of the 1990 s. With the sustainable development of tourism industry, tourism market played a significant role in promoting tourism development from the mid-1990 s to 2000 s. From the mid-2000 s to now, due to the combined impacts of tourism resources and tourism market,culture has played a guide role for tourism development in China. On the other hand, through introducing the method of agent-based simulation, designing the simulation system of the spatial distribution, as well as constructing the simulation model of tourists' behavior, this paper explores formation mechanism and dynamic process concerning the spatial distribution of Chinese tourism industry, and then analyses the spatial differentiation of tourism industry in China driven by tourism resources, tourism market and culture respectively. Results mainly show that tourism resources are the fundamental factor of the spatial differentiation of Chinese tourism industry at the early stage of tourism development. Therefore, the most developed tourism areas are mainly situated in the excellent tourism cities such as Beijing, Hangzhou, Xi'an and Guilin during this period. In fact these areas also possess plenty of tourism resources. As the development of market economy and the improvement of infrastructure in China, tourism
出处
《地理研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第8期1427-1441,共15页
Geographical Research
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(70933002
41071092)
关键词
旅游业发展
旅游资源
旅游市场
文化
基于自主体模拟
中国
tourism development
tourism resource
touristmarket
culture
agent-based simulation
China
