摘要
论文利用2000~2008年的相关数据,选取亲景度和竞争态对宁夏入境旅游市场进行时空动态分析,在此基础上,采用灰色理论来构建宁夏入境旅游客源市场的灰色GM(1,1)预测模型,旨在为宁夏拓展入境旅游客源市场提供决策上的科学依据。
According to relevant data from the year 2000 to 2008,this paper analyzes inbound tourism market of Ningxia based on the competition state and the preference scale.This paper also constructs a grey GM(1,1)prediction model of this market with the Grey Theory.It is hoped that it will provide some scientific measures for the development of inbound tourism market of Ningxia province.
关键词
宁夏
亲景度
竞争态
灰色GM(1
1)预测模型
灰色预测
Ningxia province
competition state
preference scale
grey GM(1,1)prediction model
grey prediction
