摘要
相比运输航空,公务航空的运行机制和监管模式给安全风险管理带来了诸多挑战。通过基元事件分析法对公务航空事故/事件进行诱因分析,结合“人-机-环-管”模型和SHELL模型,建立了公务航空安全风险评估指标体系。基于区间数的算法构建了一个评估指标量化模型,对每一指标,采用构造二元区间数的方法进行权重量化分析,从而确定指标权重系数。结果表明,注意力涣散、超负荷单人驾驶、发动机种类复杂程度、停机坪碰撞、违规操作、机型繁杂程度、人与人的交互影响、安全监管和机场风险要素是公务航空中安全风险的关键影响因素,除此之外还应兼顾其他影响因素。
The present paper intends to propose an analysis of the risk influential factors based on the investigation of business avia tion companies, the actual safety administrative and managerial levels and the relevant regulations with the focus on the key safety risk influential factors of the business aviation. At the same time, the operating mechanism and regulatory model of the business avi ation have brought about lots of challenges to its safety risk man agement, as compared with the transportation aviation, an acci dent/ incident can also be divided into numerous elements ac cording to the Element Event Analysis Method （EEAM） to deal with the safety issues from the organizational or institutional point of view. Therefore, in order to verify the rationality of the proper indexes, it is also necessary to eliminate those unimportant inde xes and improve the reliability of the related indexes, in addition to the analysis of the historical safety accident / incident data of the business aviation involved. Such a safety risk evaluation inde xes system of business aviation has to be built up based on the system theory classification approach, the ＂manmachineenviron mentmanagement＂ model and the SHEL model. Besides, it is also of great need to determine the relative weights of the indexes through the group decisionmaking, which can reflect that the mi nority should be subordinated to the majority in accordance with the interval number algorithm. Seeing this, we have proposed a quantitative evaluation model based on the interval number algo rithm. Furthermore, a form of the binary interval number can be used to reveal the objectivity of the indexical information in deter mining the weight of the indexes and that given by the experts through the information given by the decisionmakers. At the same time, all the corresponding binary interval numbers can also be given in a form of weight model for each index with the weight Of each index quantified through the distance of the binary interval numbers, and, with the w
作者
高扬
齐耀君
董传亭
GAO Yang;QI Yao-jun;DONG Chuan-ting(Research Institute of Civil Aviation Safety,Civil Aviation Uni-versity of China,Tianjin 300300,China)
出处
《安全与环境学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2018年第5期1723-1729,共7页
Journal of Safety and Environment
基金
民航安全能力建设专项(ASSA2017/17)
关键词
安全工程
公务航空
安全风险
区间数
影响因素
safety engineering
business aviation
safety risk
interval number
influencing factors
