摘要
文章运用我国31个省份2005-2016年的统计数据,采用非线性格兰杰检验和社会网络分析构建空间关联网络,研究各省份普惠金融发展水平的空间关联及溢出效应。研究发现:普惠金融发展的关联网络具有较强的稳定性,但均衡性有待加强;各省份在关联网络中的位置和所起的作用存在显著差异,北京、上海、天津、山东等发展较快的省份在网络中处于中心位置,接收到的关联关系较多,对其他地区主要产生溢出作用;发展较慢的沿海省份起到传导普惠金融资源的桥梁作用;而西部落后地区位于网络中的边缘,核心地区与偏远地区的关联关系较弱。提高普惠金融发展的整体水平,可建立全国性的示范性区域,促进普惠金融的持续协调发展。
Based on the panel data of 31 provincial-level administrative areas from 2005 to 2016,this paper constructs the spatial correlation network using the nonlinear Granger test and the social network analysis to study the spatial correlation and the spillover effects of the level of inclusive finance development in various provincial-level administrative areas. The study results show that the correlation network of inclusive finance development has the strong stability,but the equilibrium needs to be strengthened; Various provincial-level administrative areas have significant differences in their positions and roles in the related networks. The fast developing provincial-level administrative areas,such as Beijing,Shanghai,Tianjin and Shandong,are in the center of the networks,receive more connected relations,and mainly produce spillover effects on other areas; Coastal provinces with slower growth play the role of bridge for the transmission of inclusive financial resources; Whereas the backward western areas are on the edge of the networks,the connected relationship between the core areas and the remote areas is weak. We should establish a national exemplary region and promote the sustained and coordinated development of inclusive finance in order to raise the overall level of inclusive finance development.
作者
胡宗义
李明月
HU Zong-yi, LI Ming-yue(School of Finance and Statistics, Hunan University, Changsha 410009, China)
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第8期5-12,共8页
East China Economic Management
基金
教育部规划基金项目(17YJA790030)
湖南省自然科学基金青年基金项目(2017JJ3127)
湖南省哲学社会科学基金重点项目(15ZDB030)
关键词
普惠金融
非线性格兰杰检验
社会网络分析
空间关联
inclusive finance
nonlinear Granger test
social network analysis
spatial correlation
