摘要
中国与巴基斯坦是山水相依的友好邻邦,两国人民有着悠久的传统友谊。在两国政府的重视和推动下,伴随着"一带一路"倡议的提出,中国与巴基斯坦在商品贸易、产能合作、基础设施建设等领域的合作规模越来越大,两国的战略合作关系都已达到了一个新高度。本文在分析巴基斯坦1997—2016年间的经济波动、产业结构、进出口依存度、巴基斯坦与中国的贸易发展等情况基础之上,运用多元回归方法,对影响巴基斯坦经济增长的因素进行了分析。得出结论:巴国第三产业产值、进口依存度、出口依存度对巴基斯坦实际GDP变动有重要影响。第一产业产值、第二产业产值、向中国进口产品额、出口产品额对巴实际GDP并不会产生实质影响。最后对加快巴基斯坦经济发展提出相应的政策建议。
Based on an analysis of Pakistan's industrial structure,economic fluctuation,import and export dependency as well as its bilateral trade with China from 1997 to 2016,this paper employed a multiple regression method for an evaluation of major factors relevant to economic growth in Pakistan.It is concluded that Pakistan's tertiary industry output,export dependence degree and import dependency degree has a major influence on Pakistan's real GDP change.The output of its first industry and second industry as well as its import/export with China does not bring about a substantial effect on real GDP of Pakistan.
出处
《南亚研究季刊》
CSSCI
2018年第2期53-61,5,共9页
South Asian Studies Quarterly
