摘要
基于STIRPAT模型和面板门槛模型,采用我国30个省级地区2001—2015年的面板数据,以经济发展水平、人口密度、能源强度和对外开放水平为门槛变量,实证分析了经济增长对我国雾霾污染的影响。结果表明:经济增长与我国雾霾污染之间存在显著的非线性关系。以经济发展水平和能源强度为门槛变量时,经济增长对我国雾霾污染的正向影响在跨过门槛值后增大,呈现出"阶梯式"的增长特征;以人口密度为门槛变量时,经济增长对我国雾霾污染的正向影响在跨过门槛值后变为负向影响,呈现出倒"U"型关系;以对外开放水平为门槛变量时,经济增长对我国雾霾污染的正向影响在跨过门槛值后减弱。
Based on STIRPAT model and panel threshold model,using panel data from 2001 to 2015 in 30 provinces in China,with the level of economic development,population density,energy intensity and the level of opening up as the threshold variable,the effect of economic growth on haze pollution in China was analyzed. The results showed that there was a significant nonlinear relationship between economic growth and haze pollution in China. With the level of economic development and energy intensity as the threshold variable,the positive influence of economic growth on haze pollution increased after crossing threshold value,which presented＂stepped＂growth feature. With the population density as the threshold variable,the positive influence of economic growth on haze pollution became negative influence after crossing threshold value,presented an inverted U-shaped relationship. With the level of opening up as the threshold variable,the positive effect of economic growth on haze pollution weakened after crossing the threshold.
作者
郭丰
任毅
GUO Feng;REN Yi(Chongqing Technology and Business University a. Research Center of the Economy of the Upper Reaches of Yangtze Rive;College of Economics, Chongqing 400067, China)
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
CSSCI
2018年第7期919-924,966,共7页
Resource Development & Market
基金
重庆市教委科学技术研究项目"长江经济带雾霾污染治理与能源消费结构转型研究"(编号:KJ1600636)
全国统计科学研究重点项目"能源消费结构对雾霾污染影响的统计测度与预测研究"(编号:2016LZ07)
