摘要
探寻"丝绸之路经济带"沿线主要国家与中国的双边贸易对其本国经济增长产生的影响,测度其与中国的贸易密集度、HM指数和贸易互补性,分析中国与沿线主要国家经贸发展的现状与潜力。研究发现:在沿线国家与中国的双边贸易中,其进口贸易、出口贸易、总贸易均可诱发该国经济增长,相比而言,对中国出口的诱发效应大于从中国进口的诱发效应;中国与沿线国的人均GDP差距、人口规模、WTO组织变量及经济自由度与沿线国家经济发展正相关,经贸成本与沿线国经济增长负相关;中国和"丝绸之路经济带"沿线主要国家的贸易具有较高依赖度和互补性,沿线主要国家对中国出口产品的依赖程度远远高于中国市场对沿线主要国家出口产品的依赖程度。
Aiming at exploring the impact of bilateral trade between major countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt and China on their economic growth,this paper makes an analysis on the current situation and potential of economic and trade development between China and the major countries along the Belt on the basis of the measurement of their trade intensity,HM index and trade complementarities. The study finds that the bilateral trade between countries along the Belt and China,whether import trade,export trade,or total trade,could induce the economic growth of all countries. Comparatively speaking,the induced effect on China＇s exports is greater than that on imports from China. The per capita GDP gap between China and the countries along the Belt,the population size and the WTO organizational variables and the economic freedom are positively related to the economic development of the countries along the Belt,however,the economic and trade costs are negatively correlated with the economic growth of the countries along the Belt. The trade between China and the main countries along the＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂is highly dependent and complementary. The dependence of the major countries along the Belt on China＇s export products is much higher than that of the Chinese market on the export products of the main countries.
作者
杨万平
赵金凯
李想
YANG Wanping;ZHAO Jinkai;LI Xiangb(a. School of Economics and Financ;b. School of Mechanical Engineering,Xi ’an Jiao tong University,Xi ’an 710049,Chin)
出处
《南京审计大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第3期101-111,共11页
Journal of Nanjing Audit University
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(17BJL043)
关键词
丝绸之路经济带
进出口贸易
经济增长
一带一路
国际贸易
地区贸易合作
贸易关系
the Silk Road Economic Belt
import and export trade
economic growth
The Belt and Road
internationaltrade
regional trade cooperation
trade relations
