摘要
通过选取2000—2012年我国制造业27个分行业的面板数据,采用非参数DEA-Malmquist指数法测算制造业全要素生产率,运用动态面板GMM模型探讨制造业全要素生产率的增长对出口贸易的影响。实证表明,制造业出口存在"自选择"效应,制造业全要素生产率的提高有利于出口强度的扩大,这符合异质性企业贸易理论的预期;对制造业而言,人均资本对制造业出口的带动作用明显,研发投入对出口的影响存在时滞效应,但通过提高当期的全要素生产率进而间接扩大出口的机制效应存在。
The panel data of 27 manufacturing industries in China with the period from 2000 to 2012 is selected and the non-parametric method of DEA-Malmquist index is adopted to measure the total factor productivity of manufacturing industry, and then the Generalized Method of Moments of dynamic panel data is used to discuss the influence of total factor productivity of manufacturing in China to Export. Our empirical research result shows that there exists ＂Self- selection＂ effect in China＇s manufacturing export, which means that the total factor productivity of manufacturing is beneficial to the expansion of manufacturing export strength, and this conclusion is in line with the expectation of heterogeneous-firm trade theory. For manufacturing, per capita capital has an obvious positive effect on export, while R＆D input has a lag effect on exports, but it can expand manufacturing export indirectly by the mechanism effect of raising the current total factor productivity.
出处
《未来与发展》
2018年第2期35-40,34,共7页
Future and Development
