摘要
本文利用耦合模型和2005—2016年面板数据,对全国28个省域中心城市的经济金融协调发展关系进行了测算。研究结果显示:第一,从整体趋势来看,研究期内经济系统和金融系统均有明显改进,经济金融协调性得到提高。然而,由于金融系统落后于经济系统发展,限制了协调性改进空间,经济、金融双系统之间的良性循环通道难以完全打通。第二,从差异化特征来看,东部地区表现出明显的超前性,中西部表现出较强的趋同性。第三,金融危机主要对发达区域的经济系统造成冲击,进而影响全国经济系统和金融系统之间的协调度,造成两系统之间协调关系的失衡。
The coordinated development and virtuous cycle of economy and finance are the important contents of the national financial work conference. Based on the coupling model and the panel data from 2005 to 2016,the coordinated development of economy and finance has been measured in the central cities of 28 provinces of China. The results show that,first,from the overall trend,the economic and financial systems have been significantly improved during the study period,the coordination of the two systems are also improved,but the financial system lags behind the economic system which limits the development of improved coordination space,and the circulation channel between the economic and financial system is not fully opened. Second,from the difference characteristics,the eastern area of China enjoysan obvious foresightedness while the middle and westernarerelatively convergent. Third, the financial crisis mainly impacts on the economic system of the developed areas,and then affects the coordinated development,resulting in the imbalance between the two systems.
出处
《金融发展研究》
北大核心
2017年第12期29-35,共7页
Journal Of Financial Development Research
基金
教育部人文社会科学基金项目"套期保值信息披露
投资者特征差异与投资者判断"(16YJC790065)
青岛市哲学社会科学规划项目"区域金融与实体经济耦合关系的演化特征及作用机制"(QDSKL1701232)
关键词
经济增长
金融危机
耦合模型
协调发展
economic growth
financial crisis
coupling model
coordinated development