摘要
基于我国31个省份2006年至2014年的面板数据,对经济增长、教育发展与新型城镇化之间的关系进行实证分析。利用动态面板系统广义矩估计发现:经济增长和教育发展与新型城镇化呈现正向关系且显著,经济增长、教育发展交互作用对新型城镇化产生滞后的影响。利用分位数回归模型,发现不同区域和不同分位点上的经济增长、教育发展对新型城镇化的影响差异较大。具体而言,经济增长对东部地区新型城镇化水平的影响程度逐步减弱,而对中部和西部的影响程度逐步加强;教育发展对中部地区新型城镇化水平的影响逐渐变强,而对东部和西部地区的影响逐渐变弱。因此,东部地区新型城镇化的重点是放弃对城镇人口数量的追求并提高城镇化质量,中西部地区城镇化的重点是农业转移人口就地和就近市民化,提高城镇化率,降低城镇化成本。
At the theoretical level, the logical relationship between economic growth, education devel- opment and new urbanization is analyzed. Based on panel data of 31 provinces from 2006 to 2014 in China, the relationship between economic growth, the development of education and the new urbani- zation is analyzed. The finding by using dynamic panel GMM system indicate that relationship be- tween economic growth and the development of education and the new urbanization is positive and sig- nificant, while the interaction between economic growth and development of education has lagged imo- act on new urbanization. Using quantile regression model, the differences between economic growth and education development in different regions and different points were found. Based on this, it puts forward the Countermeasures of promoting economic growth, educational development and new urbani- zation development from the overall level and regional level.
出处
《郑州航空工业管理学院学报》
2018年第1期54-63,共10页
Journal of Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics
基金
广西研究生教育创新计划项目(YCSW2017178)
广西哲学社会科学规划研究课题(17BMZ004)
关键词
新型城镇化
教育发展
动态面板
分位数面板
new urbanization
education development
dynamic panels
quantile panels
