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区域经济与交通运输发展协同性评价模型研究 被引量:24

Study on Evaluation Model of Regional Economy and Transport Development Coordination
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摘要 交通运输与区域经济协调发展是国民经济各部门协调发展的前提。但目前对于两者的研究多定位于交通运输发展是否拉动和支撑社会经济的发展,而非从系统的角度分析二者的关系。为此,本文首先分析国内外区域经济与交通运输协同发展研究取得成绩与存在的问题,分析区域经济发展与交通运输协同发展的重要性与本质含义,然后从系统分析的角度出发,构建了反映经济规模、经济结构、经济效益性的7个代表区域经济子系统的评价指标和反映交通运输规模、交通运输结构、交通运输发展性的7个代表交通运输系统的评价指标,形成了区域经济与交通运输协同发展的综合评价指标体系,并利用主成分分析法分别找出了衡量区域经济发展水平和交通运输水平的主因子,利用这些因子构建了交通运输与区域经济动态协同发展评价模型与静态协同发展评价模型,该模型客观地计算交通运输与区域经济发展的协同度,能够直观地反映交通运输与区域经济之间的协同关系。最后,为验证模型的有效性,以新疆为例对新疆经济与交通运输的发展协同度进行了评价,对评价结果进行了合理的分析,并提出了加大对新疆交通基础设施建设的资金支持力度,提升区域之间的通达性,促使两系统协同发展,以及加强疆内交通运输网络结构调整优化的建议。 The coordinated development between transport and regional economy is the premises for coordinated development of various departments of national economy. But at present, the research on both of them is to determine whether the transport development will promote and support the development of social economy, rather than analyze the relationship from the system perspective. Therefore, on the basis of analyzing the achievements and existing problems of the research on the cooperative development of regional economy and transport at home and abroad, the significance and the characteristics of coordinating development between regional economy and transport is analyzed. Then, based on the system analysis, a comprehensive evaluation index system of the abovementioned cooperative development is established. It consist of 7 evaluation indexes representing the regional economy subsystem which including economic scale, economic structure and economic efficiency, and also 7 evaluation indexes representing transport system which containing transport scale, transport structure and transport development. Principal component analysis (PCA) method is used to obtain the main factors which can measure the levels of regional economy and transport development respectively, the model of coordinative development between regional economy and transport and the static collaborative development evaluation model are established using those main factors. The models can objectively calculate the coordination degree between transport and regional economic development, and can directly reflect the cooperative relationship between them. Finally, to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, taking Xinjiang for example, the cooperation degree of Xinjiang economy and transport development is evaluated, and the evaluation result is analysed rationally. It is suggested that to increase the fund support for Xinjiang traffic infrastructure construction, to improve the accessibility of the region, to promote the cooperative development of the
出处 《公路交通科技》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第11期151-158,共8页 Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development
关键词 运输经济 协同发展 主成分分析 区域经济与交通运输 transport economic coordinated development principal component analysis regional economy and transport
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