摘要
农业转移人口市民化进程的内在推动力源于收入和福利要素。本文在城镇化经典理论的基础上,构建符合我国二元经济特征的市民化理论模型,对市民化均衡水平的决定因素进行比较静态分析,并从市民化意愿出发,依据微观调查数据建立有序Probit模型进行实证检验。研究发现,收入和福利水平的改善均可以促进市民化均衡水平的提升,而农村拉力对市民化存在抑制作用。进一步的研究结论表明,农业转移人口在市民化过程中存在明显的"诉求倾向",即子女上学、政治参与以及职业培训状况的改善对市民化意愿的提升效应更为明显。本文认为,以落户为核心的单一户籍制度改革并非推进市民化的关键,只有剥离和户籍绑定的各项福利政策,完善以满足新市民诉求为出发点的居住证制度、缩小福利歧视、渐进分类改善农业转移人口福利,才能真正提升我国市民化的发展水平。
The internal driving force of civilization process comes from income and welfare. In this paper,on the basis of the classical theory of urbanization, we constructed the civilization theoretical model accords with the practice of dual economy in China,analyzed the determinants of civilization equilibrium level with comparative static analysis,and considered the civilization subjective wishes of migrants, through a micro empirical study, proved the correctness of theoretical hypothesis. The results show that the improvement of income and welfare level will promote civilization,rural pull has inhibiting effect. Further research shows that the transferring of agricultural population in civilization process have obvious ＂demand tendency＂,the improvement of children education,political participation as well as vocational training will mostly promote civilization process. We hold that： the single household register system reform is not the key to promote civilization,only by separating welfare policy from census register,steadily promoting the reform of residence system, gradually improving welfare of migrants and reducing welfare discrimination,can enhance the standard of China＇s civilization.
出处
《经济评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第6期66-79,共14页
Economic Review
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"基于生产要素集聚与农民福利动态均衡的新型城镇化发展质量研究"(项目编号:14BJL063)
2016年度教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"新常态下促进经济稳定增长的要素配置与产业升级政策研究"(项目编号:16JJD790015)
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"调整型经济增长对我国居民可持续性消费影响的实证研究"(项目编号:13JJD790011)
吉林大学研究生创新基金资助项目"包含金融因素的货币政策规则及其在中国的适用性检验"(项目编号:2016144)的资助
关键词
农业转移人口
市民化
福利
可行能力
Agricultural Transfer Population, Civilization, Welfare, Capability
