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中国农村三大要素市场发育的互动关联逻辑——基于农户多要素联合决策的分析 被引量:21

Joint decision-making logic of three elements in rural China
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摘要 已有文章较多集中讨论劳动力和土地要素之间的互动关系,而鲜有研究将资本要素一并纳入其中,导致对农村三大要素流动之间的相互关系缺乏整体把握。本文以中国现实情境为逻辑起点,将三大要素纳入同一个分析框架,从农户行为机理层面阐释农户要素投入联合决策机制,进而结合全国九省2 082个农户样本调查数据,采用Mv Probit模型分析三大要素市场发育的微观动力机制及其互动关联逻辑。研究表明:三大要素市场发育之间具有关联性特征,其中,非农就业转移与土地转出行为之间存在正向互动关系,非农就业转移与资金借贷行为之间存在显著的负向抑制关系,农地转入与资金借贷行为之间存在显著的正向促进关系。三大要素市场的相互关联、相互牵制的特征表明:政府对于三个市场中任何一个市场的政策都应该考虑到对其他市场可能存在的牵制作用,应协同推进"人动、地动、钱动"三类市场协调发展和良性互动,实现多重政策目标的有效整合。一是借助于"人动、地动"的互动机制,构建一个开放并不断拓展的农地流转市场发育。二是从"人动、钱动"的角度看,需要解构两者之间的负向抑制关系,关注如何引导农民从简单的非农就业型转移转向"发财"动机的创业型转移,构建起农民创业型转移与创业型金融资本借贷的正向促进机制。三是利用"地动、钱动"的互动机制,进一步撬动两大市场的发展。 Most of the articles focused on the interaction between labor and farmland,but few studies have incorporated capital elements together,leading to the lack of overall integration of the interrelationship among the three elements of rural areas.Based on the reality of rural China,we put the three elements in the same analysis framework to explain the factors of farmer's joint decision-making mechanism from the perspective of the behavior of farmers.And then combined with the survey data of 2 082 households in nine provinces,the multivariate probit approach was used to analyze the microscopic dynamic mechanism and the interaction logic of the three elements.The study shows that there is a characteristic of relevance among the development of three elements markets.Specifically,there are a positive interaction between non-agricultural employment transfer and land transfer behavior,a significantly negative correlation between non-agricultural employment transfer and capital lending behavior,and a significant positive relationship between farmland transfer and capital lending.The interrelated and intertwined characteristics of the three major elements of the market implies that: the government's policy on any of the three markets should take the possible containment of other markets into account,be coordinated to promote the three types of market coordination and healthy interaction,and achieve the effective integration of multiple policy objectives.Three aspects should be noticed: first,with the help of the interactive mechanism between labor migration and farmland circulation,to build an open and expanding agricultural land market; second,from the perspective of the relationship between labor migration and capital lending,it is necessary to deconstruct the negative inhibition between the two elements,and it is important to focus on how to guide farmers from simple non-agricultural employment shift to ‘wealth ' motives of entrepreneurial migration,and build institutional basis for the interaction of the far
出处 《中国人口·资源与环境》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2017年第11期61-68,共8页 China Population,Resources and Environment
基金 国家自然科学基金重点项目"农村土地与相关要素市场培育与改革研究"(批准号:71333004) 国家社会科学基金项目"资产专用性 声誉效应与农村互联性贷款自我履约的机理研究"(批准号:16AJY015) 2017年广东省高校人文社科重大项目"农地三权分置的实践研究"(批准号:gxskzd018)
关键词 劳动力转移 农地流转 资金借贷 关联逻辑 labor migration farmland transfer capital loan joint decision-making mechanism
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