摘要
产业发展是一个地区经济发展的支柱,它包括产值的增加和产业结构的优化升级。新疆作为"丝路"的核心区,研究其产业结构演化十分重要。研究发现:各子系统的有序度均有增加,呈现从无序到有序的趋势,技术动力系统进入有序状态的时间较慢。依据系统动力学思想,利用数学函数对子系统间有序度进行拟合,分析构成产业结构演化动力系统中子系统间的交互胁迫关系。动力子系统间整体呈现协作关系,除供给动力系统和技术动力系统间的协作关系不是特别显著外,其他子系统间的协作关系都较为显著。需求动力系统对供给动力系统、技术动力系统对环境动力系统的协作关系在某些年份有所减弱,甚至出现轻微的胁迫趋势。
Industrial development is medium pillar of economic development in a certain area; the industrial development includes the output increase and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. Xinjiang is the core area of the'silk road',so studying the evolution of its industrial structure change is very important. Researches find: ordered measurement in all subsystems are increased,presenting a state from disorderly to orderly,except technical power system,whose entrance to the orderly state is slow. And then based on the system dynamics idea,we analyze the interaction coercing relation between each subsystem,which constitutes the motive force of the industrial structure evolution,by fitting the subsystem's orderly degree with software,The study found that: the power subsystems are present cooperation relationship overall,and except the collaboration relationship between supply power system and technical power system is not so significantly,the collaborative relationships all other subsystems are more remarkable. The cooperative relationship between demand power system and supply power system,between technical power system and the environment power system,both have decreased in some specific years,and even appeared slight coercing trend.
出处
《华北水利水电大学学报（社会科学版）》
2017年第5期43-46,共4页
Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power(Social Science Edition)
基金
新疆财经大学研究生科研项目"供给侧结构性改革背景下新疆工业园区产业优化升级调查分析--以米东化工工业园为例"(XJUFE2017D010)
关键词
产业结构演化动力系统
协同学理论
系统动力学
交互胁迫关系
industrial structure evolutionary dynamical system
synergy theory
system dynamics
interactive coercing relationships
