摘要
借助2000~2015年相关统计指标数据,应用协整理论和向量自回归模型等计量经济方法,探讨了农村居民人均纯收入与人均水产品消费量之间的动态变化关系。研究结果表明:农村居民人均纯收入与人均水产品消费量之间存在长期协整关系;农村居民人均纯收入增长变化是人均水产品消费量增长的单向Granger原因,即农村居民收入增长有助于提高水产品消费量;农村居民人均纯收入对于人均水产品消费量的冲击力度大于人均水产品消费量对于农村居民人均纯收入的冲击力度,促进农村居民收入水平增长是提高水产品消费的重要措施。
This paper analyzed the relationship between the per capita net income of China＇s rural residents and their per capita consumption of aquatic products from 2000 to 2015 by using the method of econometric analysis such as cointegration theory and vector autoregression model. The results show that there is a longterm cointegration relationship between per capita net income of rural residents and per capita consumption of aquatic products. The change in per capita net income of rural households is the one-way Granger cause of per capita consumption of aquatic products,that is to say,the increase in per capita net income of rural households will help to increase the consumption of aquatic products. The impact of per capita net income of rural residents on per capita consumption of aquatic products is greater than the impact of per capita consumption of aquatic products on per capita net income of rural residents,and promoting per capita net income of rural households growth will be an important measure to increase consumption of aquatic products.
出处
《渔业信息与战略》
2017年第3期161-167,共7页
Fishery Information & Strategy
基金
农业部委托项目“水产品消费量与人均GDP关系研究”
关键词
水产品消费量
农村居民人均纯收入
动态关系
协整理论
VAR模型
consumption of aquatic products
per capita net income of rural households
dynamic relationship
cointegration theory
VAR model
