摘要
基于消费效用理论和旅行概率模型思想构建了多目的地—多客源地交互条件下的旅游空间竞争引力模型,进而利用GIS和空间经济计量方法研究了有无宁杭高铁两种情境下中国长三角城市群旅游空间竞争格局变化特征。研究表明:(1)高铁干线对城市群旅游空间竞争格局的影响具有明显的节点与廊道集聚锁定效应,局部影响效果显著,但整体影响相对有限,并不能从根本上改变城市群旅游空间竞争的核心—边缘结构模式。(2)城市群旅游空间竞争格局变化不存在面域的显著性空间自相关,但存在比较显著的距离衰减特征,从高铁干线节点城市向外至边缘城市,旅游空间竞争格局变化程度的距离衰减除少数存在无序或非线性特征外,大都符合线性衰减规律。(3)高铁效应与旅游空间竞争格局之间存在中等程度显著性相关,这证实高铁是影响旅游空间竞争格局分异的重要变量之一,也说明高铁的旅游空间竞争效应会随着其它变量的变化而变化,因而在实践应用中有必要坚持动态跟踪研究。(4)城市群旅游空间竞争格局的分异特征具有复杂性,采用多种空间计量方法开展集成研究是必要的。
The theory of consumer utility and travel probability are used to construct the tourism spatial competition model under the interaction conditions of multi destination and multi source, and spatial econometric methods are used to explore the spatial differentiation characteristics of tourism competition system of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration under the influence of high-speed railway. The research finds that the influence of the high-speed rail lines of tourism space competition pattern of urban agglomeration has obvious cluster nodes and corridors lock effect,that is, the local effect is significant, but the overall effect is relatively limited, and can not fundamentally change the core periphery structure model of tourism space competition of urban agglomeration. There is no significant spatial autocorrelation in the surface region under the influence of high-speed railway, but there are significant distance attenuation characteristics. From the high-speed rail trunk node city to the outer edge city, the distance attenuation degree of tourism spatial competition pattern changes in a small number of disordered or nonlinear characteristics, and most of them are in line with the linear attenuation law. The results show that there is a moderate correlation between the highspeed railway effect and the tourism spatial competition pattern, which confirm that high-speed railway is one of the important variables affecting the spatial differentiation of tourism competition pattern, also show that the competitive effect of the high speed rail will change with the other variables, so it is necessary to adhere to the dynamic tracing research in practice. The research shows that the differentiation characteristics of urban tourism spatial competition pattern under the influence of high – speed railway are complex, so it is necessary to use a variety of spatial statistical methods to carry out integrated study.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2017年第8期182-191,共10页
Economic Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(17BGL123)
国家旅游局科研立项重点项目(16TAAK004)
国家旅游局旅游业青年专家培养计划项目(TYETP201527)
中国博士后科学基金项目(2016M591241)
关键词
城市群
旅游空间竞争
格局分异
GIS网络数据集
宁杭高铁
urban agglomeration
tourism spatial competition
pattern differentiation
GIS network data set
Nanjing Hangzhou high-speed railway
