摘要
进入后金融危机时代,国际贸易依然没有从国际金融危机打击中走出来,持续低速增长有可能继续延续下去。相对于金融危机之前国际贸易倍增于全球GDP增长情况,当前国际贸易持续低迷实属罕见。主要原因在于:全球经济增长乏力,多个经济体增长蕴含风险;贸易自由化遭遇困境,贸易保护主义抬头;全球价值链重构困难,不确定因素增多;价格因素和全球化红利消失,国际贸易增长前景不明朗等。对已经进入经济新常态的中国对外贸易发展而言,应采取以优势行业为突破口打造以中国为主导的全球价值链、利用国际贸易低速增长之机加速国内企业改革、以"负面清单"模式发展服务贸易、以"一带一路"战略为契机参与全球贸易规则制定等措施,切实推动对外贸易持续健康发展。
Since entering the post financial crisis era, the growth of international trade has not come out of the financial crisis, and the continuous low speed growth might prolong for a long time. Compared with situation of international trade multiple times of global GDP growth before financial crisis, the current low growth in international trade is rare. The reason for this is mainly the weak global economic growth more than the economy growth risks, trade liberalization difficulties of trade protectionism, the global value chain reconstruction difficulties increased uncertainty, price factors and globalization divi- dend disappeared, international trade growth prospects are not clear. To have entered the new economic normal development of China＇s foreign trade, to the advantage of industry as the breakthrough point to build China＇s leading global value chain, the international trade of low growth accelerated domestic enterprise reform, with ＂negative hst＂ mode to the development of China＇s service trade, ＂One Belt and One Road＂ strategy as an opportunity to participate in the global trade rules and other initiatives, to enhance competitiveness, build a favorable external environment of international trade, to promote China＇s foreign trade sustainable development.
作者
李媛媛
LI Yuan-yuan(School of Economics and Managemet Chuxiong Normal University, Chuxiong Yunnan 67500)
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2017年第8期74-77,共4页
关键词
国际贸易
增长前景
负面清单
低速增长
international trade growth prospect negative list low speed growth
