摘要
基于STIRPAT模型及动态空间杜宾面板数据模型,根据2002—2013年中国的省域面板数据,实证分析了我国建筑产业碳排放的影响因素。主要结论包括:各省份建筑业碳排放总量的增加都会拉动邻省份同行业的碳排放量上升,这种影响力不仅在当期发挥作用,而且是持续的、逐渐增强的;在长期或短期内,适当控制建筑行业就业人数及行业人员工资水平的上升,在所属区域内会对节能减排产生积极影响,对于相邻区域则是消极影响;节能减排技术的创新与发展、低碳能源的开发与利用是建筑行业低碳发展中最为重要和关键的环节,同时,实现建筑材料制造业的统筹安排、优化布局与均衡发展,才能使低碳转型成为建筑产业发展的核心竞争力。
Based on STIRPAT model and dynamic Spatial Durbin Panel models, this paper empirically investigated the influencing factors of carbon emission of construction industry in China according to the panel provincial data from 2002 to 2013. The results indicate that the total carbon emission increase of construction in one province can raise the carbon emission of construction in its adjacent provinces and such kind of influence do not only come into play in the current but also will be continuous and gradually enhanced. And in the long-term or short-term, the control on the increasing construction employment and wage level have a positive impact on energy conservation and emission reduction within the area but it becomes a negative impact for its adjacent areas. Innovation and development of energy-saving and emission-reduction technology, and exploitation and utilization of low-carbon energy are the most important and critical. At the same time, comprehensive arrangement, good allocation and balanced development for building materials manufacturing make the low-carbon transition become the core competence of construction industry.
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2017年第8期74-80,共7页
Ecological Economy
基金
江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金指导项目"江苏新型城镇化低碳发展的机制与路径研究--基于耦合与脱钩视角"(2015SJD473)
住房和城乡建设部科学技术项目"中国建筑产业的低碳发展机制与对策研究"(2014-R4-015)
江苏省建设系统科技项目"新型城镇化背景下江苏建筑产业的低碳发展机制与路径选择"(2014ZD45)
江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金指导项目"研发投入推动战略性新兴产业高端化研究"(2016SJD790029)
江苏省"青蓝工程"资助
江苏省高校优秀中青年教师和校长境外研修计划资助
