摘要
基于我国2000-2014年的31个省(市、自治区)的面板数据,采用系统矩估计方法,探讨了我国金融发展对三大产业就业的影响,得出结论如下:从全国来看,金融发展规模和金融深化程度均对第三产业就业具有显著的促进作用,而对第一、二产业就业却产生了抑制作用。进一步从地区层面来看,沿海地区的金融发展规模和金融深化程度均对第二、三产业就业具有显著的促进作用,而对第一产业就业却产生了抑制作用;内陆地区的金融发展规模和金融深化程度均对第三产业就业具有显著的促进作用,而对第一、二产业就业却产生了抑制作用。由此可见,金融发展对产业就业影响却因地区的发达程度不同而表现出较大的差异性。依据实证结论提出相关政策启示。
This article makes use of 31 provinces＇ （municipalities and autonomous regions） panel data from 2000 to 2014 in China, using the system GMM estimation method,to probe into the impact of the China＇ s financial development on the three major industrial employment. And the conclusion is that：from a national perspective, financial development scale and the degree of financial deepening have a significant role in promoting the employment of the tertiary industry, while it can produce inhibitory effect on the primary and secondary industries＇ employment; Further from a regional perspective, in the coastal areas, financial development scale and the de- gree of financial deepening have a significant role in promoting the employment of the secondary and tertiary industries, while it has a inhibitory effect on the primary industry. In the inland are- as ~ financial development scale and the degree of financial deepening can promote the employ- ment of the tertiary industry, while it has an adverse effect on the primary and secondary indus- tries＇ employment. Therefore, the influence of financial development on the industrial employ- ment structure is different because of the different level of development of regions. Finally,according to the empirical conclusion, this article proposes some policy implications.
出处
《人口与发展》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第3期14-24,58,共12页
Population and Development
关键词
金融发展规模
金融深化程度
就业结构
系统矩估计
financial development scale
financial deepening degree
employment structure
SYS- GMM
