摘要
出口地缘结构反映了一国出口的市场定位、地理方向、出口能力及其经济地理和政治结构。文章采用1997-2014年BACI双边贸易数据库、CEPII引力分析数据集和世界发展指标数据,分析金砖五国出口的不同技术复杂度产品的地缘结构差异问题,及其出口市场的地理结构和出口发展潜力。研究发现,金砖国家出口地缘结构存在显著的差异。整体上,巴西的出口地理范围最远,俄罗斯最近,中国、南非和印度居中。出口目的国在金砖国家出口总额中占比,与该国与金砖国家距离及产品技术复杂度呈显著负向关系。此关系对不同的金砖国家来说显著程度不同:俄罗斯最强,巴西和印度最弱;并且与这些国家的地缘特征、经济地理因素和地缘政治因素具有密切的关系。
The geographical structure of export reflects the market positioning,geographical orientation,export capability and local economic geography and political structure. Based on the database of BACI during 1997-2014,CEPII gravity analysis and world development indicators,this research analyzes the geographical structure differences of products generated at different level of technical complexity,the geographical structure of export market and export potential in BRICS. The research shows that there are obvious differences in the geographical structure of export in BRICS. Generally,the distance of export in Brazil is the farthest,while Russia is the closest,China,South Africa and India between them. The proportion of export destinations in the total exports of BRICS presents a negative correlation with the distance and technical complexity. This negative correlation is different in each BRICS country: Russia is the strongest,Brazil and India are the weakest. Meanwhile,this negative correlation is closely related to the geographical features,economic geography factors and geopolitical factors of BRICS.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第3期120-129,共10页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“我国城市贸易结构空间分布研究”(项目编号:71273167)
上海市教育委员会、上海市教育发展基金会2014年度“曙光计划”项目“我国城市比较优势研究”(编号:14SG51)资助
