摘要
由于朝鲜接连进行的第四次和第五次核试验以及韩美在半岛部署"萨德"等事件的影响,东北亚局势再一次受到世人的瞩目。关于如何看待和解决这些局势变化所带来的危机问题,学者们又展开了新的探讨。本文拟从国家自主性理论与国家决策行为的关系角度,分析朝鲜半岛两个当事国家在对外政策选择方面的行为逻辑,指出影响朝鲜和韩国决策方向的主要因素分别在于国内政治和大国战略方面,并针对这两个方面提出打造经济朝鲜、韩国从"均衡者"向"协调者"转变的两个方向性建议,认为只有在政策选择中弱化权力政治导向,加强治理和经济导向,才有朝鲜半岛和东北亚的未来。
The situation in Northeast Asia has attracted worldwide attention because of the fourth and fifth nuclear tests conducted by the DPRKand the deployment of ' THAAD ' by the ROKand the USA on the Korean peninsula. Scholars have launched a new discussion on how to deal with these crises brought about by these changes. Based on an analytic framework of the relationship between the theory of national autonomy and the state's decision-making behavior, this paper attempts to analyze the behavioral logic of the two countries on the Korean peninsula in terms of the choice of foreign policy, pointing out that the main factors influencing the decision-making process of DPRK and ROK are domestic politics and the strategy of great powers. And this paper proposed two policy recommendations, one of which isrejuvenationof theeconomy of DPRK and the other a change for ROK from the 'balancer' to 'coordinator'. A prosperous and peace future of the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia can be ensuredonly by weakening the policy orientation of 'power politics' and emphasizing and focusing ongovernance and economic growth in policy formulations and implementations.
出处
《东北亚论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第1期90-99,共10页
Northeast Asia Forum
基金
国家社科基金重点项目(13AZZ014)
关键词
朝鲜
韩国
国家自主性
朝核问题
经济朝鲜
协调者
DPRK
ROK
National Autonomy
DPRK Nuclear Issue
Economic DPRK
Coordinator
