摘要
不同投入要素应该有不同的使用原则,所谓关于我国当前投入要素动力潜力的研究,就是在相对稳定甚至更少能源和原材料要素使用的前提下,关于劳动力要素潜力水平充分发挥和资本要素积累到不再增加之前的动力水平的研究。利用二元经济理论下不同经济体的边际产出估算结果和资本积累路径特征,可以证明,在以技术进步为主的经济增长动力结构形成之前,我国劳动和资本要素尚有持续发挥红利效果的潜力。其中剩余劳动力转移的红利效果已经处在尾期,而依靠固定资本积累则可以在未来8年内推动我国经济以新常态速度增长。厘清发挥劳动和资本要素剩余动力潜力的条件与磨擦,为充分利用这二者的红利效果以及实现增长方式顺利转型提供了有利依据。
Different input elements should have different principles of use. The so- called studyabout the power and potential of input elements in current China is the research about how to fullplay the potential level of the labor factor, and when the capital accumulation will no longer in-crease, under the premise of relatively stable or even less energy and raw material elements using. Itis proved that the labor and capital factors still have the potential to exert the effect of dividend,based on the results of the marginal output under the two economic theory and the characteristics ofthe capital accumulation path. While the transfer of surplus labor is in the final dividend effect, andrelying on the accumulation of fixed capital can still maintain our new normal growth rate of econom-ic growth about 8 years. Clarifying the conditions and friction when exert the surplus power potentialof labor and capital factors can help make full use of the bonus effect of these two and achieve asmooth transition to provide a reliable basis for growth.
出处
《中国高校社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第1期52-63,共12页
Social Sciences in Chinese Higher Education Institutions
基金
国家社科基金重大项目"中国潜在经济增长率计算及结构转换路径研究"(12&ZD197)
国家社科基金一般项目"基于供给因素视角的新常态经济发展的动力与机制研究"(15BJL036)成果
关键词
经济增长动力
最大可积累资本存量
劳动要素弹性系数
C-D生产函数
the power of economic growth
maximum accumulative capital stock
elasticity coeffi-cient of labor element
C-D production function
